Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostMlada Boleslavodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonOlomouc +1.5odds up 1.27Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMlada Boleslavodds down 1.82Confidence 55%
- Double chanceLostMlada Boleslav or drawodds up 1.42Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostMlada Boleslavodds up 1.71Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–123%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 24, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 3, Olomouc 2, after a shootout.
- Dec 28, 2025: Olomouc 2, Mlada Boleslav 5.
- Nov 14, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 4, Olomouc 1.
- Sep 28, 2025: Olomouc 3, Mlada Boleslav 1.
- Jan 26, 2025: Olomouc 2, Mlada Boleslav 3, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 against Pardubice, Oct 18. Odds: Olomouc 6.60, Pardubice 1.40.
- Loss, 0–5 against Karlovy Vary, Oct 16. Odds: Olomouc 3.13, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
- Loss, 1–3 at Mountfield HK, Oct 11. Odds: Hradec Kralove 1.56, Olomouc 4.60.
- Loss, 1–3 at Litvinov, Oct 9. Odds: Litvinov 1.79, Olomouc 3.45.
- Loss, 0–9 against Trinec, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Mountfield HK, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
- Loss, 0–3 at Trinec, Oct 16. Odds: Trinec 1.40, Mlada Boleslav 5.00.
- Win, 2–1 against Litvinov, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
- Loss, 3–4 at Kladno, Oct 9. Odds: Kladno 1.77, Mlada Boleslav 3.50.
- Loss, 3–5 against Liberec, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 03:13 2 min Mlada Boleslav: — Too many men on the ice
- 08:19 2 min Olomouc: Vitouch M. Holding
- 09:54 Goal PPG Mlada Boleslav: Martel J. assists: Moravec D., Morand A. 0-1
2nd period0-0
- 00:01 Goalie change Olomouc: Cichon O. replaces Machovsky M.
- 04:52 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Kral P. Tripping
- 09:27 2 min Olomouc: Macuh R. Kneeing
- 12:56 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Kral P. Holding
3rd period4-1
- 02:20 Goal Olomouc: Macuh R. assists: Hercik D., Freibergs R. 1-1
- 03:16 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Jandric S. Elbowing
- 03:21 Goal PPG Olomouc: Navratil J. assists: Orsava J., Macuh R. 2-1
- 03:52 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Zavora J. Slashing
- 05:38 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Budik V. Boarding
- 08:38 2 min Olomouc: Ondrusek J. Interference
- 11:09 2 min Olomouc: Gewiese P. Interference
- 18:40 Goal ENG Olomouc: Navratil J. assists: Vitouch D., Stohanzl M. 3-1
- 19:17 Goal Mlada Boleslav: Morand A. assists: Skalicky P., Jandric S. 3-2
- 19:24 Goal Olomouc: Kos J. assists: Orsava J., Stella E. 4-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Olomouc coming into this game.
- 1-6-0 at home for Olomouc this season.
- In goal: Machovsky M. for Olomouc (1-7-2 in the last 10 starts), Furch D. for Mlada Boleslav (1-7-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Olomouc −2.4, Mlada Boleslav −1.2 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Mlada Boleslav.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OLO) | 2.40 | 3.10 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MLA) | 2.50 | 2.05 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap OLO | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Olomouc host Mlada Boleslav in the Extraliga on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.