Olten vs Arosa prediction
Chance to win · 71% and 15% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonOltenodds up 1.31Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO6.5odds up 1.68Confidence 53%
- HandicapWonOlten -1.51.58Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonOltenodds up 1.16Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonOlten or drawodds up 1.10Confidence 85%
- Draw no betWonOltenodds up 1.13Confidence 82%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonOlten1.75Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.55Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min10–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–112%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (6%), 6-2 (3%), 6-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 17, 2026: Arosa 0, Olten 4.
- Feb 19, 2026: Olten 10, Arosa 1.
- Jan 6, 2026: Arosa 1, Olten 4.
- Dec 5, 2025: Olten 9, Arosa 3.
- Nov 16, 2025: Arosa 0, Olten 3.
Last five games
- Win, 4–0 at Arosa, Oct 17. Odds: Arosa 4.75, Olten 1.48.
- Loss, 2–4 at Sierre, Oct 13. Odds: Sierre 1.27, Olten 6.93.
- Win, 3–2 against Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 10. Odds: Olten 1.37, Bellinzona 5.70.
- Loss, 2–11 at Visp, Oct 6.
- Loss, 2–6 against La Chaux-de-Fonds, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–4 against Olten, Oct 17. Odds: Arosa 4.75, Olten 1.48.
- Loss, 1–4 against Thurgau, Oct 13. Odds: Arosa 4.07, Thurgau 1.57.
- Loss, 2–5 at Basel, Oct 10. Odds: Basel 1.15, Arosa 10.00.
- Win, 4–3 against GCK Lions, Oct 6.
- Loss, 1–5 at Chur, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 07:44 Goal Olten: Braillard L. 1-0
- 14:31 Goal Olten: Asselin G. assists: Horansky S., Reinhard M. 2-0
- 19:20 Goal Arosa: Rotheli M. assists: Hunziker N., Weber G. 2-1
2nd period5-1
- 00:20 Goal Olten: Janett G. assists: Hawryluk J. 3-1
- 09:03 Goal Olten: Reinhard M. assists: Asselin G. 4-1
- 11:15 Goal PPG Arosa: Krakauskas E. assists: Warmbrodt N. Y., Weber G. 4-2
- 11:40 Goal Olten: Asselin G. assists: Horansky S., Janett G. 5-2
- 18:24 Goal Olten: Reinhard M. assists: Elsener J., Horansky S. 6-2
- 19:19 Goal PPG Olten: Cattin Nolan assists: Obrist P. 7-2
3rd period3-1
- 06:56 Goal PPG Olten: Janett G. assists: Horansky S., Braillard L. 8-2
- 08:29 Goal Olten: Horansky S. assists: Reinhard M., Asselin G. 9-2
- 10:10 Goal Olten: Kaser G. assists: Von Rohr M. 10-2
- 13:47 Goal Arosa: Krakauskas E. 10-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Arosa coming into this game.
- 1-4-0 away for Arosa this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Olten.
- In goal: Lachat P. for Olten (4-1-0 in the last 5 starts), Pasche N. for Arosa (1-2-0 in the last 3 starts).
- The total moved down from 7.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OLT) | 1.30 | 1.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.60 | 5.60 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ARO) | 6.30 | 6.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 6.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap OLT | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Swiss League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1.321 | 75 | 32 | +43 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 51 | 40 | +11 | |
| 3 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.167 | 47 | 18 | +29 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24 | .857 | 60 | 49 | +11 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | .885 | 53 | 40 | +13 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .607 | 36 | 48 | −12 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 49 | −5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 33 | 48 | −15 | |
| 9 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9 | .321 | 25 | 73 | −48 | |
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 9 | .300 | 33 | 60 | −27 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Olten host Arosa in the Swiss League on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.