Olten vs Chur Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.31

Confidence77%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonOltenodds up 1.97Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.31Confidence 77%
HandicapLostChur +1.51.32Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)WonOltenodds up 1.61Confidence 54%
Double chanceWonOlten or drawodds down 1.50Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonOltenodds down 1.87Confidence 55%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.05Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonOltenodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Olten 32

Chur

Final 5–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

OLT to winTo win 53% OLT won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–03%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (2%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record4-6-04-5-1

Home / road split2-3-02-2-0

StreakW2W1

Rest3 days6 days

Goals for4.13.4

Goals against4.43.4

In the standings4th7th

Head-to-head

Olten 23

Chur

Chur won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 8.2 OLT 4.2 · CHU 4.0

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 5 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 19, 2026: Chur 4, Olten 9.
Feb 21, 2026: Chur 5, Olten 1.
Jan 2, 2026: Chur 6, Olten 3.
Nov 30, 2025: Olten 5, Chur 1.
Nov 18, 2025: Olten 3, Chur 4, after overtime.

Last five games

Olten 3-2-0

Win, 10–3 against Arosa, Oct 20. Odds: Olten 1.30, Arosa 6.30.
Win, 4–0 at Arosa, Oct 17. Odds: Arosa 4.75, Olten 1.48.
Loss, 2–4 at Sierre, Oct 13. Odds: Sierre 1.27, Olten 6.93.
Win, 3–2 against Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 10. Odds: Olten 1.37, Bellinzona 5.70.
Loss, 2–11 at Visp, Oct 6.

Chur 3-2-0

Win, 6–3 against GCK Lions, Oct 17. Odds: Chur 1.76, GCK Lions 3.33.
Loss, 2–3 at Visp, Oct 13. Odds: Visp 1.63, Chur 3.96.
Loss, 2–5 against Sierre, Oct 10. Odds: Chur 4.45, Sierre 1.52.
Win, 5–2 at La Chaux-de-Fonds, Oct 6.
Win, 5–1 against Arosa, Oct 3.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

05:34 Goal Olten: Bichsel F. assists: Sturny J., Stekoffer S. 1-0

2nd period1-0

10:08 Goal Olten: Hawryluk J. assists: Braillard L., Asselin G. 2-0

3rd period3-0

02:39 Goal Olten: Reinhard M. assists: Janett G., Horansky S. 3-0
06:23 Goal PPG Olten: Horansky S. assists: Janett G., Asselin G. 4-0
17:20 Goal Olten: Horansky S. assists: Asselin G., Reinhard M. 5-0

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Chur dropped from 2.20 to 1.80 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 6 days off for Chur, 3 for Olten.
In goal: Zurkirchen S. for Olten (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts), Brun A. for Chur (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Chur.
8.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (OLT)	2.61	2.35	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.20	4.40	Drifted
1X2: 2 (CHU)	2.10	2.25	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap OLT	−0.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Swiss League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Sierre	14	13	1	0	37	1.321	75	32	+43
2	Basel	14	10	2	2	31	1.107	51	40	+11
3	Visp	12	9	0	3	28	1.167	47	18	+29
4	Olten	14	8	6	0	24	.857	60	49	+11
5	La Chaux-de-Fonds	13	8	5	0	23	.885	53	40	+13
6	Thurgau	14	6	7	1	17	.607	36	48	−12
7	Chur	14	5	8	1	16	.571	44	49	−5
8	Bellinzona Snakes	14	4	8	2	13	.464	33	48	−15
9	Arosa	14	3	11	0	9	.321	25	73	−48
10	GCK Lions	15	3	10	2	9	.300	33	60	−27

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Olten vs Chur prediction