Ontario Reign vs Calgary Wranglers prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonOntarioodds down 2.67Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonOntario +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonOntarioodds down 2.07Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonOntario or drawodds down 1.60Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonOntarioodds down 2.12Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostOntarioodds down 2.95Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.78Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ontario 4–1
Calgary Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formOntario Reign
Calgary Wranglers
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Ontario 4–1
Calgary - Dec 7, 2025: Ontario Reign 2, Calgary Wranglers 1, after overtime.
- Dec 6, 2025: Ontario Reign 6, Calgary Wranglers 1.
- Nov 12, 2025: Calgary Wranglers 3, Ontario Reign 2.
- Nov 11, 2025: Calgary Wranglers 1, Ontario Reign 5.
- Apr 6, 2025: Calgary Wranglers 2, Ontario Reign 3.
Last five games
Ontario
2-2-1 - Loss, 2–5 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Ontario 2.37, Henderson 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 14. Odds: San Diego 2.25, Ontario 2.45.
- Loss, 2–6 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–5 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, after overtime, May 9.
Calgary
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 at Bakersfield Condors, Oct 17. Odds: Bakersfield 2.12, Calgary 2.45.
- Loss, 4–5 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 16. Odds: San Jose 2.21, Calgary 2.48.
- Win, 6–4 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 14. Odds: San Jose 2.42, Calgary 2.35.
- Loss, 4–5 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 11. Odds: Calgary 2.14, Bakersfield 2.60.
- Win, 2–1 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 9. Odds: Calgary 2.10, Bakersfield 2.70.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-2
- 02:22 Goal Calgary Wranglers: Gross T. assists: Stromgren W., Hurtig A. 0-1
- 13:44 Goal PPG Ontario Reign: Guttman C. assists: Perunovich S., Chromiak M. 1-1
- 19:53 Goal Calgary Wranglers: Kerins R. assists: Hunt D., Wiebe A. 1-2
3rd period2-0
- 00:18 Goal Ontario Reign: Chromiak M. assists: Guttman C., Pederson L. 2-2
- 17:10 Goal Ontario Reign: Chromiak M. assists: Kirsanov K. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Ontario Reign −0.8, Calgary Wranglers +0.7 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Ontario Reign.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 7th vs 4th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ONT) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CAL) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap ONT | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 | Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 | Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ontario Reign host Calgary Wranglers in the AHL on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.