Ontario Reign vs Henderson Silver Knights prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonHendersonodds up 2.27Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.40Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostOntario +1.5odds up 1.28Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHendersonodds up 1.82Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonHenderson or drawodds down 1.52Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonHendersonodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHendersonodds down 3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.85Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ontario 2–3
Henderson Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–53%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formOntario Reign
Henderson Silver Knights
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Ontario 3–2
Henderson - Oct 28, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 4, Ontario Reign 1.
- Mar 25, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 3, Ontario Reign 1.
- Mar 8, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 1, Ontario Reign 2.
- Mar 6, 2026: Ontario Reign 4, Henderson Silver Knights 3, after a shootout.
- Jan 9, 2026: Ontario Reign 5, Henderson Silver Knights 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
Ontario
2-2-1 - Win, 3–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 14. Odds: San Diego 2.25, Ontario 2.45.
- Loss, 2–6 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–5 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, after overtime, May 9.
- Loss, 2–6 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, May 7.
Henderson
2-3-0 - Win, 4–0 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 14. Odds: Henderson 2.10, Coachella 2.65.
- Loss, 0–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–3 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at Colorado Eagles, May 9.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-2
- 01:13 Goal Henderson Silver Knights: Hallum J. assists: Kmec J. V., Sapovaliv M. 0-1
- 03:03 Goal Henderson Silver Knights: McLain M. assists: Ginning A. 0-2
- 15:08 Goal PS Ontario Reign: Hicketts J. 1-2
3rd period1-3
- 00:38 Goal Henderson Silver Knights: Holtz A. assists: Rondbjerg J. 1-3
- 11:28 Goal PPG Ontario Reign: Jamsen A. assists: Connors K., Ziemmer K. 2-3
- 18:42 Goal ENG Henderson Silver Knights: McLain M. assists: Holtz A., Heinola V. 2-4
- 19:31 Goal ENG Henderson Silver Knights: Demek J. assists: Hallum J., Kmec J. V. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ontario Reign.
- Save % gap: Ontario Reign 89.8%, Henderson Silver Knights 92.4% over their recent games.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 7th vs 5th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ONT) | 2.37 | 2.37 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.65 | 3.65 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HSK) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ONT | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 | Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 | Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ontario Reign host Henderson Silver Knights in the AHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.