Ontario Reign vs San Jose Barracuda prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostOntarioodds down 2.52Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.34Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonOntario +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostOntarioodds down 1.95Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonOntario or drawodds down 1.58Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushOntarioodds down 1.95Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonOntario2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ontario 4–1
San Jose Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formOntario Reign
San Jose Barracuda
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Ontario 1–4
San Jose - Dec 31, 2025: Ontario Reign 4, San Jose Barracuda 5.
- Dec 27, 2025: San Jose Barracuda 0, Ontario Reign 3.
- Dec 21, 2025: Ontario Reign 3, San Jose Barracuda 6.
- Dec 20, 2025: Ontario Reign 3, San Jose Barracuda 4, after a shootout.
- Nov 15, 2025: San Jose Barracuda 4, Ontario Reign 3.
Last five games
Ontario
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–3 against Tucson Roadrunners, Oct 31. Odds: Ontario 2.12, Tucson 2.67.
- Loss, 4–5 against Tucson Roadrunners, Oct 30. Odds: Ontario 2.35, Tucson 2.35.
- Loss, 1–4 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 28. Odds: Henderson 2.35, Ontario 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 at Texas Stars, Oct 24. Odds: Texas 2.55, Ontario 2.15.
- Win, 5–3 at Texas Stars, Oct 23. Odds: Texas 2.20, Ontario 2.50.
San Jose
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 against Bakersfield Condors, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: San Jose 2.30, Bakersfield 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 against Abbotsford Canucks, Oct 28. Odds: San Jose 2.45, Abbotsford 2.20.
- Loss, 1–4 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 24. Odds: San Diego 2.15, San Jose 2.50.
- Win, 5–2 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 23. Odds: Coachella 2.15, San Jose 2.50.
- Win, 5–4 against Calgary Wranglers, Oct 16. Odds: San Jose 2.21, Calgary 2.48.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:23 Goal Ontario Reign: Ward T. assists: Guttman C., Hughes J. 1-0
2nd period1-2
- 02:26 Goal San Jose Barracuda: Hoffmann B. assists: Wetsch C., McKeown R. 1-1
- 11:36 Goal Ontario Reign: Lawrence K. 2-1
- 17:46 Goal San Jose Barracuda: Villeneuve-Houle D. assists: Lund C. 2-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-1
- 00:17 Goal San Jose Barracuda: Lund C. assists: Barre-Boulet A., Cagnoni L. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Ontario Reign coming into this game.
- 1-4-0 at home for Ontario Reign this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for San Jose Barracuda.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 7th vs 9th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ONT) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SJB) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap ONT | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 | Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 | San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ontario Reign host San Jose Barracuda in the AHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.