Ontario Reign vs Tucson Roadrunners prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonTucsonodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.42Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTucson +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTucsonodds down 1.87Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonTucson or drawodds up 1.47Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonTucsonodds up 1.85Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTucsonodds up 2.82Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ontario 1–4
Tucson Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 7 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formOntario Reign
Tucson Roadrunners
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Ontario 3–2
Tucson - Oct 31, 2026: Ontario Reign 2, Tucson Roadrunners 3.
- Mar 28, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 4, Ontario Reign 2.
- Mar 27, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 2, Ontario Reign 3.
- Mar 4, 2026: Ontario Reign 4, Tucson Roadrunners 1.
- Feb 22, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 3, Ontario Reign 5.
Last five games
Ontario
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–4 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 28. Odds: Henderson 2.35, Ontario 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 at Texas Stars, Oct 24. Odds: Texas 2.55, Ontario 2.15.
- Win, 5–3 at Texas Stars, Oct 23. Odds: Texas 2.20, Ontario 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Calgary Wranglers, Oct 20. Odds: Ontario 2.70, Calgary 2.05.
- Loss, 2–5 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Ontario 2.37, Henderson 2.20.
Tucson
3-0-2 - Win, 5–1 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 28. Odds: Coachella 2.15, Tucson 2.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 24. Odds: Henderson 2.25, Tucson 2.45.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Henderson Silver Knights, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Henderson 2.50, Tucson 2.20.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against San Diego Gulls, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Tucson 2.37, San Diego 2.15.
- Win, 3–0 against San Diego Gulls, Oct 16. Odds: Tucson 2.38, San Diego 2.32.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 17:07 Goal PPG Ontario Reign: Jamsen A. assists: Connors K., Guttman C. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 17:10 Goal Ontario Reign: Millar J. assists: Kirsanov K., Connors K. 2-0
3rd period2-5
- 05:38 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Poganski A. assists: Hebig C., McCartney B. 2-1
- 07:59 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. 2-2
- 09:23 Goal Ontario Reign: Lawrence K. assists: Cihar V. 3-2
- 10:30 Goal SHG Tucson Roadrunners: Tanev B. assists: Rooney K. 3-3
- 13:51 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. assists: Biber G., Lutz J. 3-4
- 18:37 Goal SHG Tucson Roadrunners: Lavoie T. 3-5
- 19:42 Goal PPG Ontario Reign: Connors K. assists: Pederson L., Perunovich S. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-0-1 away for Tucson Roadrunners this season.
- Goal differential gap of 2.0 per game — Ontario Reign −0.9, Tucson Roadrunners +1.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ontario Reign.
- Save % gap: Ontario Reign 87.4%, Tucson Roadrunners 90.6% over their recent games.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ONT) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TUC) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ONT | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 | Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ontario Reign host Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.