Ontario Reign vs Tucson Roadrunners prediction
Chance to win · 35% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonTucson2.72Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.43Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTucson +1.51.42Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTucsonodds up 2.05Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonTucson or draw1.61Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonTucsonodds up 2.09Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTucsonodds up 3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.86Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ontario 1–4
Tucson Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formOntario Reign
Tucson Roadrunners
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Ontario 3–2
Tucson - Oct 30, 2026: Ontario Reign 4, Tucson Roadrunners 5.
- Mar 28, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 4, Ontario Reign 2.
- Mar 27, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 2, Ontario Reign 3.
- Mar 4, 2026: Ontario Reign 4, Tucson Roadrunners 1.
- Feb 22, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 3, Ontario Reign 5.
Last five games
Ontario
2-3-0 - Loss, 4–5 against Tucson Roadrunners, Oct 30. Odds: Ontario 2.35, Tucson 2.35.
- Loss, 1–4 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 28. Odds: Henderson 2.35, Ontario 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 at Texas Stars, Oct 24. Odds: Texas 2.55, Ontario 2.15.
- Win, 5–3 at Texas Stars, Oct 23. Odds: Texas 2.20, Ontario 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Calgary Wranglers, Oct 20. Odds: Ontario 2.70, Calgary 2.05.
Tucson
3-0-2 - Win, 5–4 at Ontario Reign, Oct 30. Odds: Ontario 2.35, Tucson 2.35.
- Win, 5–1 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 28. Odds: Coachella 2.15, Tucson 2.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 24. Odds: Henderson 2.25, Tucson 2.45.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Henderson Silver Knights, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Henderson 2.50, Tucson 2.20.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against San Diego Gulls, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Tucson 2.37, San Diego 2.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 08:08 Goal Ontario Reign: Jamsen A. assists: Wright J. 1-0
2nd period1-2
- 02:52 Goal PPG Ontario Reign: Guttman C. assists: Pederson L., Perunovich S. 2-0
- 11:35 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. assists: Poganski A., Lavoie T. 2-1
- 15:18 Goal PPG Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. assists: Jones Z., Smith G. 2-2
3rd period0-1
- 11:23 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Rooney K. assists: Borikov Y., Jones Z. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Ontario Reign and Tucson Roadrunners played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Ontario Reign coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Tucson Roadrunners coming into this game.
- 5-0-1 away for Tucson Roadrunners this season.
- Goal differential gap of 2.0 per game — Ontario Reign −0.9, Tucson Roadrunners +1.1 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ONT) | 2.12 | 2.12 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TUC) | 2.67 | 2.67 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ONT | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 | Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ontario Reign host Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.