Orebro vs Frölunda prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 50% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostFrolundaodds up 2.04Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.65Confidence 60%
- HandicapWonOrebro +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostFrolundaodds up 1.62Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostFrolunda or drawodds up 1.32Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostFrolunda1.58Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.13Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostFrolundaodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.20Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period2–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 19, 2026: Orebro 5, Frölunda 4, after overtime.
- Jan 24, 2026: Frölunda 4, Orebro 5.
- Nov 13, 2025: Frölunda 3, Orebro 2.
- Sep 18, 2025: Orebro 1, Frölunda 2.
- Feb 15, 2025: Orebro 2, Frölunda 5.
Last five games
- Loss, 4–6 at Linkoping, Oct 24. Odds: Linkoping 2.20, Orebro 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 against Brynas, Oct 22. Odds: Orebro 3.00, Brynas 2.05.
- Win, 2–1 at Rögle, Oct 17. Odds: Rogle 1.65, Orebro 3.55.
- Loss, 0–6 at Malmo, Oct 15. Odds: Malmo 2.27, Orebro 2.83.
- Win, 4–2 against Vaxjo, Oct 10. Odds: Orebro 2.32, Vaxjo 2.60.
- Loss, 4–5 against Rögle, Oct 27. Odds: Frolunda 2.20, Rogle 2.75.
- Win, 6–2 at HV 71, Oct 24. Odds: HV71 3.30, Frolunda 1.91.
- Loss, 1–4 at Rögle, Oct 22. Odds: Rogle 2.15, Frolunda 3.00.
- Win, 6–2 against Djurgarden, Oct 20. Odds: Frolunda 1.52, Djurgarden 4.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Skellefteå, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Frolunda 2.37, Skelleftea 2.27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 08:39 2 min Frölunda: Thorell E. Boarding
- 08:55 2 min Orebro: Oscarson M. Interference
- 09:30 Goal Orebro: Salo R. assists: Kossila K., Martin L. 1-0
- 15:39 Goal Orebro: Oscarson M. assists: Quenneville D., Backstrom G. 2-0
2nd period0-0
- 16:53 2 min Orebro: Berglund F. Tripping
- 20:00 2 min Orebro: Noren E. Roughing
- 20:00 2 min Frölunda: Clarke G. Roughing
3rd period1-2
- 01:21 Goal Frölunda: Lindholm M. assists: Thorell E., Hasa F. 2-1
- 12:41 2 min Orebro: Salo R. Hooking
- 14:42 Goal Frölunda: Cederqvist F. assists: Thorell E., Meijer B. 2-2
- 15:39 2 min Frölunda: Hasa N. Tripping
- 17:30 Goal PPG Orebro: Salo R. assists: Stockselius L., Kossila K. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Orebro, 1 for Frölunda.
- In goal: Larsson F. for Orebro (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Johansson L. for Frölunda (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — Orebro −0.7, Frölunda +1.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Frölunda.
- +0.9 goals at home — Orebro averaged 2.8 at home and 1.9 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ORE) | 3.00 | 3.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FRO) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap ORE | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Orebro host Frölunda in the SHL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.