Orebro vs Rögle prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostRogleodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.51.29Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonOrebro +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostRogleodds down 1.87Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonRogle or drawodds down 1.49Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushRogleodds down 1.82Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDraw2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.21Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–122%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 17, 2026: Rögle 1, Orebro 2.
- Feb 28, 2026: Rögle 2, Orebro 3, after overtime.
- Jan 3, 2026: Orebro 3, Rögle 4.
- Nov 29, 2025: Orebro 4, Rögle 3.
- Oct 4, 2025: Rögle 5, Orebro 3.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against Frölunda, Oct 29. Odds: Orebro 3.00, Frolunda 2.05.
- Loss, 4–6 at Linkoping, Oct 24. Odds: Linkoping 2.20, Orebro 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 against Brynas, Oct 22. Odds: Orebro 3.00, Brynas 2.05.
- Win, 2–1 at Rögle, Oct 17. Odds: Rogle 1.65, Orebro 3.55.
- Loss, 0–6 at Malmo, Oct 15. Odds: Malmo 2.27, Orebro 2.83.
- Loss, 0–3 against Malmo, Oct 29. Odds: Rogle 1.76, Malmo 3.80.
- Win, 5–4 at Frölunda, Oct 27. Odds: Frolunda 2.20, Rogle 2.75.
- Win, 5–4 at Brynas, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Brynas 2.10, Rogle 3.00.
- Win, 4–1 against Frölunda, Oct 22. Odds: Rogle 2.15, Frolunda 3.00.
- Loss, 1–2 against Orebro, Oct 17. Odds: Rogle 1.65, Orebro 3.55.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 16:02 Goal Rögle: Jellvik O. assists: Zether S., Solberg I. 0-1
- 19:29 Goal Orebro: Danielsson L. assists: Martin L., Karlkvist P. 1-1
2nd period0-0
- 00:32 5 min Rögle: Zaar D. Illegal check to the head
- 09:47 2 min Orebro: Gustafsson G. Holding
3rd period1-1
- 04:03 Goal Rögle: Olofsson F. assists: Everberg D., Friedman M. 1-2
- 17:54 2 min Rögle: Everberg D. Interference
- 18:36 Goal PPG Orebro: Dickinson J. assists: Stachowiak W., Karlkvist P. 2-2
Overtime1-0
- 01:47 Goal Orebro: Quenneville D. assists: Stachowiak W., Stockselius L. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Rögle dropped from 2.12 to 1.70 since they were first published.
- In goal: Arntzen J. for Orebro (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Clang C. for Rögle (6-3-0 in the last 9 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Orebro.
- +1.0 goals at home — Orebro averaged 2.8 at home and 1.9 away this season.
- Save % gap: Orebro 92.3%, Rögle 89.4% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ORE) | 3.00 | 3.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ROG) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap ORE | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Orebro host Rögle in the SHL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.