Ostersund vs Leksand prediction
Chance to win · 16% and 65% in regulation
Hedman H.StartedSV 88.8% · GAA 3.17 · 4-1-1
Gidlof M.StartedSV 89.2% · GAA 2.70 · 6-3-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostLeksandodds down 1.57Confidence 67%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds down 1.67Confidence 54%
- HandicapLostLeksand -0.5odds down 1.46Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLeksandodds up 1.25Confidence 78%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceLostLeksand or drawodds down 1.18Confidence 95%
- Draw no betLostLeksandodds down 1.28Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonLeksandodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.28Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Ostersund 2–5
Leksand Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min3–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-5 (5%), 2-4 (5%), 1-5 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formOstersund
Leksand
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
Ostersund
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–3 at BIK Karlskoga, Oct 14. Odds: Karlskoga 2.23, Ostersund 2.69.
- Loss, 4–5 at AIK, Oct 12. Odds: AIK 1.42, Ostersund 5.60.
- Loss, 0–1 against MODO, Oct 9. Odds: Ostersund 3.80, MoDo 1.78.
- Win, 1–0 at Vasteras, Oct 7.
- Loss, 3–5 at Södertälje, Oct 2.
Leksand
5-0-0 - Win, 4–0 against Vimmerby, Oct 14. Odds: Leksand 1.30, Vimmerby 7.11.
- Win, 9–3 at Visby/Roma, Oct 9. Odds: Visby/Roma 7.00, Leksand 1.32.
- Win, 7–1 against Nybro, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–3 against Oskarshamn, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–4 at BIK Karlskoga, after overtime, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 04:10 Goal PPG Leksand: Lang O. assists: Zackrisson P., Stakkestad A. 0-1
2nd period2-0
- 12:45 Goal Ostersund: Ljungkrantz A. assists: Klint A. 1-1
- 14:38 Goal Ostersund: Semjonovs M. assists: Holmner-Hargestam C., Dahlqvist A. 2-1
3rd period1-1
- 05:19 Goal Ostersund: Nijhoff L. assists: Dahlqvist A. 3-1
- 19:24 Goal Leksand: Lang O. assists: Kelleher T., McCourt R. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Leksand coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Ostersund coming into this game.
- In goal: Hedman H. for Ostersund (4-1-1 in the last 6 starts), Gidlof M. for Leksand (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 3.4 per game — Ostersund −0.8, Leksand +2.6 over their recent games.
- 11th vs 2nd in the Hockey Allsvenskan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OST) | 5.09 | 4.19 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.96 | 4.56 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (LEK) | 1.47 | 1.62 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap OST | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Hockey Allsvenskan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AIK |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.176 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 | Leksand |
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.147 | 73 | 40 | +33 |
| 3 |  Kalmar |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1.000 | 57 | 45 | +12 |
| 4 |  Modo |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | .971 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 |  Sodertalje |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .912 | 50 | 39 | +11 |
| 6 |  Oskarshamn |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .806 | 69 | 61 | +8 |
| 7 |  Mora |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | .706 | 48 | 41 | +7 |
| 8 |  BIK Karlskoga |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 43 | 53 | −10 |
| 9 |  Almtuna |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 44 | 55 | −11 |
| 10 |  Vasteras |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .647 | 44 | 46 | −2 |
| 11 | Ostersund |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .618 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 12 |  Vimmerby |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .406 | 43 | 61 | −18 |
| 13 |  Nybro |
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13 | .382 | 33 | 54 | −21 |
| 14 |  Visby/Roma |
17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 12 | .353 | 36 | 67 | −31 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ostersund host Leksand in the Hockey Allsvenskan on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.