Ottawa Senators vs New York Rangers prediction
Ottawa Senators 7–, New York Rangers 4
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 2.151X2 2.75
Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON) · USACanadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OTT
2
2
3
NYR
0
3
1
51%Ottawa win · 40% in regulationOTT
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
49%New York win · 37% in regulationNYR
Chance to win · 40% and 37% in regulation
Johansson J.StartedSV 85.4% · GAA 4.30 · 4-5-1
Garand D.StartedSV 92.1% · GAA 2.30 · 6-2-2
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Rangers +1.5
odds down 1.44
Confidence67%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonSenatorsodds up 2.12Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.35Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostRangers +1.5odds down 1.44Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSenatorsodds up 1.67Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonSenators or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonSenatorsodds up 1.65Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.78Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Senators 3–2
Rangers
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 11
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
Ottawa to winTo win
51%
OTT won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min7–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period2–013%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Ottawa Senators
New York Rangers
Ottawa Senators
New York Rangers
Season recordOttawa Senators 7-4-0New York Rangers 7-4-1
Home / road splitOttawa Senators 4-2-0New York Rangers 1-4-1
StreakOttawa Senators L1New York Rangers L1
RestOttawa Senators 1 dayNew York Rangers 1 day
Goals forOttawa Senators 2.8New York Rangers 3.1
Goals againstOttawa Senators 2.7New York Rangers 2.4
In the standingsOttawa Senators 6thNew York Rangers 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameOttawa Senators −0.2New York Rangers +0.9
Goals forOttawa Senators 2.6New York Rangers 3.5
Goals againstOttawa Senators 2.8New York Rangers 2.6
Shots on goalOttawa Senators 24.8New York Rangers 24.4
Shots againstOttawa Senators 24.9New York Rangers 27.3
Shooting %Ottawa Senators 10.5%New York Rangers 14.3%
Save %Ottawa Senators 90.4%New York Rangers 90.8%
Power-play %Ottawa Senators 10.0%New York Rangers 15.4%
Penalty kill %Ottawa Senators 84.3%New York Rangers 93.0%
Faceoff %Ottawa Senators 52.0%New York Rangers 55.0%
Penalty minutesOttawa Senators 12.5New York Rangers 10.9
HitsOttawa Senators 23.2New York Rangers 25.6
Blocked shotsOttawa Senators 15.4New York Rangers 14.6
Per game · OTT at home, NYR away
Goal differential per gameOttawa Senators −0.1New York Rangers −1.3
Goals forOttawa Senators 2.5New York Rangers 1.7
Goals againstOttawa Senators 2.6New York Rangers 3.0
Shots on goalOttawa Senators 26.6New York Rangers 25.3
Shots againstOttawa Senators 23.6New York Rangers 24.9
Shooting %Ottawa Senators 9.4%New York Rangers 6.7%
Save %Ottawa Senators 90.7%New York Rangers 89.2%
Power-play %Ottawa Senators 13.8%New York Rangers 15.4%
Penalty kill %Ottawa Senators 87.0%New York Rangers 93.9%
Faceoff %Ottawa Senators 53.0%New York Rangers 52.7%
Penalty minutesOttawa Senators 10.7New York Rangers 8.5
HitsOttawa Senators 25.7New York Rangers 27.1
Blocked shotsOttawa Senators 15.4New York Rangers 14.8
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Senators 3–2
Rangers
Goals a gameGoals
6.6
OTT 3.2 · NYR 3.4
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
2 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Mar 23, 2026: New York Rangers 1, Ottawa Senators 2.
- Jan 14, 2026: New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 8.
- Dec 4, 2025: Ottawa Senators 2, New York Rangers 4.
- Mar 8, 2025: Ottawa Senators 4, New York Rangers 3, after overtime.
- Jan 21, 2025: New York Rangers 5, Ottawa Senators 0.
Last five games
Senators
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–6 against San Jose Sharks, Oct 22. Odds: Senators 2.05, Sharks 2.85.
- Win, 5–1 against Florida Panthers, Oct 21. Odds: Senators 2.35, Panthers 2.52.
- Loss, 1–3 at Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 17. Odds: Flyers 3.08, Senators 2.03.
- Win, 2–1 against New York Islanders, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Senators 1.91, Islanders 3.25.
- Loss, 2–7 against St. Louis Blues, Oct 13. Odds: Senators 2.73, Blues 2.32.
Rangers
2-2-1 - Loss, 4–5 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 22. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.45, Rangers 2.30.
- Win, 5–2 against Anaheim Ducks, Oct 19. Odds: Rangers 2.01, Ducks 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 0–1 at Columbus Blue Jackets, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.18, Rangers 2.75.
- Loss, 1–7 at New Jersey Devils, Oct 15. Odds: Devils 2.18, Rangers 2.67.
- Win, 4–1 against Tampa Bay Lightning, Oct 13. Odds: Rangers 3.18, Lightning 2.04.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 05:34 Goal Ottawa Senators: Batherson D. assists: Sanderson J., Zub A. 1-0
- 06:40 Goal Ottawa Senators: Stutzle T. assists: Zetterlund F., Giroux C. 2-0
- 09:22 2 min Ottawa Senators: Zub A. High sticking
- 09:57 2 min New York Rangers: Dorofeyev P. High sticking
2nd period2-3
- 01:47 Goal Ottawa Senators: Batherson D. assists: Cozens D., Spence J. 3-0
- 03:45 2 min New York Rangers: Miller J.T. Boarding
- 09:20 2 min New York Rangers: Durzi S. Interference
- 10:07 Goal SHG New York Rangers: Cuylle W. assists: Laba N., Fox A. 3-1
- 11:21 Goal Ottawa Senators: Cozens D. assists: Batherson D., Yakemchuk C. 4-1
- 12:54 Goal New York Rangers: Miller J.T. assists: Fox A., Bjorkstrand O. 4-2
- 14:39 2 min Ottawa Senators: Pinto S. Slashing
- 18:47 2 min Ottawa Senators: Batherson D. Roughing
- 18:47 2 min New York Rangers: Gavrikov V. High sticking
- 19:34 Goal New York Rangers: Lafreniere A. assists: Miller J.T. 4-3
3rd period3-1
- 13:38 Goal Ottawa Senators: Sanderson J. assists: Greig R., Amadio M. 5-3
- 15:32 Goal New York Rangers: Dorofeyev P. assists: Cuylle W., Laba N. 5-4
- 18:47 Goal ENG Ottawa Senators: Amadio M. assists: Sanderson J., Johansson J. 6-4
- 19:48 Goal ENG Ottawa Senators: Batherson D. 7-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-4-1 away for New York Rangers this season.
- In goal: Johansson J. for Ottawa Senators (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Garand D. for New York Rangers (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Ottawa Senators −0.2, New York Rangers +0.9 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ottawa Senators.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OTT) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NYR) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap OTT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 4 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 6 | Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 7 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 8 | New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 9 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 11 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 12 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 15 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 16 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ottawa Senators host New York Rangers in the NHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.