Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks prediction
Ottawa Senators 2–, San Jose Sharks 6
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 2.051X2 2.85
Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON) · USACanadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OTT
1
0
1
SJS
1
3
2
61%Ottawa win · 49% in regulationOTT
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
39%San Jose win · 29% in regulationSJS
Chance to win · 49% and 29% in regulation
Ersson S.StartedSV 76% · GAA 6.30 · 5-4-1
Askarov Y.StartedSV 88.2% · GAA 3.30 · 3-5-2
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Lost
Senators or draw
odds down 1.44
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostSenatorsodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.32Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonSharks +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSenatorsodds up 1.64Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostSenators or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostSenatorsodds down 1.75Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSenatorsodds down 2.63Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Senators 3–2
Sharks
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 8
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Ottawa to winTo win
61%
SJS won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–63%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Ottawa Senators
San Jose Sharks
Ottawa Senators
San Jose Sharks
Season recordOttawa Senators 7-3-0San Jose Sharks 5-4-1
Home / road splitOttawa Senators 4-1-0San Jose Sharks 3-2-1
StreakOttawa Senators W1San Jose Sharks W1
RestOttawa Senators Back-to-backSan Jose Sharks 1 day
Goals forOttawa Senators 2.9San Jose Sharks 2.7
Goals againstOttawa Senators 2.4San Jose Sharks 3.5
In the standingsOttawa Senators 4thSan Jose Sharks 6th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameOttawa Senators +0.3San Jose Sharks −0.8
Goals forOttawa Senators 2.7San Jose Sharks 2.6
Goals againstOttawa Senators 2.4San Jose Sharks 3.4
Shots on goalOttawa Senators 23.6San Jose Sharks 28.2
Shots againstOttawa Senators 25.2San Jose Sharks 28.4
Shooting %Ottawa Senators 11.4%San Jose Sharks 9.2%
Save %Ottawa Senators 91.3%San Jose Sharks 88.7%
Power-play %Ottawa Senators 9.7%San Jose Sharks 18.6%
Penalty kill %Ottawa Senators 85.2%San Jose Sharks 82.9%
Faceoff %Ottawa Senators 52.1%San Jose Sharks 47.4%
Penalty minutesOttawa Senators 13.1San Jose Sharks 10.1
HitsOttawa Senators 24.1San Jose Sharks 24.7
Blocked shotsOttawa Senators 14.6San Jose Sharks 13.6
Per game · OTT at home, SJS away
Goal differential per gameOttawa Senators +0.7San Jose Sharks −0.7
Goals forOttawa Senators 2.9San Jose Sharks 2.5
Goals againstOttawa Senators 2.2San Jose Sharks 3.2
Shots on goalOttawa Senators 25.7San Jose Sharks 25.9
Shots againstOttawa Senators 24.0San Jose Sharks 28.7
Shooting %Ottawa Senators 11.3%San Jose Sharks 9.7%
Save %Ottawa Senators 91.7%San Jose Sharks 89.2%
Power-play %Ottawa Senators 16.9%San Jose Sharks 18.9%
Penalty kill %Ottawa Senators 89.4%San Jose Sharks 84.2%
Faceoff %Ottawa Senators 51.3%San Jose Sharks 48.0%
Penalty minutesOttawa Senators 10.9San Jose Sharks 9.2
HitsOttawa Senators 25.6San Jose Sharks 24.0
Blocked shotsOttawa Senators 14.8San Jose Sharks 13.9
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Senators 5–0
Sharks
Goals a gameGoals
7.4
OTT 4.8 · SJS 2.6
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Oct 31, 2026: San Jose Sharks 1, Ottawa Senators 5.
- Mar 15, 2026: Ottawa Senators 7, San Jose Sharks 4.
- Nov 22, 2025: San Jose Sharks 2, Ottawa Senators 3.
- Mar 1, 2025: Ottawa Senators 5, San Jose Sharks 3.
- Nov 27, 2024: San Jose Sharks 3, Ottawa Senators 4.
Last five games
Senators
3-2-0 - Win, 5–1 against Florida Panthers, Oct 21. Odds: Senators 2.35, Panthers 2.52.
- Loss, 1–3 at Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 17. Odds: Flyers 3.08, Senators 2.03.
- Win, 2–1 against New York Islanders, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Senators 1.91, Islanders 3.25.
- Loss, 2–7 against St. Louis Blues, Oct 13. Odds: Senators 2.73, Blues 2.32.
- Win, 4–1 at New Jersey Devils, Oct 12. Odds: Devils 2.37, Senators 2.64.
Sharks
2-2-1 - Win, 4–3 at Montreal Canadiens, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Canadiens 1.70, Sharks 3.70.
- Loss, 1–3 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 19. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.01, Sharks 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Detroit Red Wings, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Sharks 2.88.
- Win, 3–2 at Nashville Predators, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Predators 2.15, Sharks 2.75.
- Loss, 3–6 against Boston Bruins, Oct 13. Odds: Sharks 2.74, Bruins 2.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 06:16 Goal Ottawa Senators: Stutzle T. assists: Batherson D., Foegele W. 1-0
- 11:04 Goal San Jose Sharks: Allan N. assists: Orlov D. 1-1
- 16:11 2 min Ottawa Senators: Amadio M. Tripping
2nd period0-3
- 07:48 2 min Ottawa Senators: Sanderson J. Tripping
- 09:13 Goal PPG San Jose Sharks: Toffoli T. assists: Sherwood K., Trouba J. 1-2
- 11:08 2 min San Jose Sharks: Nurse D. Roughing
- 12:00 Goal SHG San Jose Sharks: Graf C. assists: Dellandrea T., Dickinson S. 1-3
- 13:18 Goal San Jose Sharks: Trouba J. assists: Graf C., Nurse D. 1-4
- 17:43 2 min San Jose Sharks: Orlov D. Holding
3rd period1-2
- 06:24 Goal Ottawa Senators: Spence J. assists: Zetterlund F., Matinpalo N. 2-4
- 16:05 2 min San Jose Sharks: Celebrini M. Tripping
- 16:31 Goal SHG San Jose Sharks: Ostapchuk Z. assists: Goodrow B. 2-5
- 19:43 Goal ENG San Jose Sharks: Stenberg I. assists: Sherwood K., Misa M. 2-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Ottawa Senators, who played yesterday.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Ottawa Senators.
- In goal: Ersson S. for Ottawa Senators (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Askarov Y. for San Jose Sharks (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Ottawa Senators this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Ottawa Senators +0.3, San Jose Sharks −0.8 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OTT) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SJS) | 2.85 | 2.85 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap OTT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 | San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ottawa Senators host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.