Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals prediction
Ottawa Senators 2–, Washington Capitals 3
AOT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 odds up 2.551X2 odds down 2.25
Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON) · USACanadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
OTT
0
2
0
0
WSH
1
0
1
1
55%Ottawa win · 44% in regulationOTT
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
45%Washington win · 34% in regulationWSH
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Senators or draw
odds up 1.39
Confidence68%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostSenatorsodds up 2.20Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.34Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonCapitals +1.5odds down 1.42Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSenatorsodds up 1.73Confidence 56%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSenators or drawodds up 1.39Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushSenatorsodds up 1.71Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSenatorsodds up 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.76Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Senators 3–2
Capitals
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Went to overtime
Ottawa to winTo win
55%
WSH won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Ottawa Senators
Washington Capitals
Ottawa Senators
Washington Capitals
Season recordOttawa Senators 11-6-1Washington Capitals 9-6-0
Home / road splitOttawa Senators 6-2-0Washington Capitals 2-2-0
StreakOttawa Senators W2Washington Capitals W1
RestOttawa Senators 2 daysWashington Capitals 2 days
Goals forOttawa Senators 3.2Washington Capitals 3.5
Goals againstOttawa Senators 3.0Washington Capitals 3.4
In the standingsOttawa Senators 6thWashington Capitals 9th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameOttawa Senators +0.1Washington Capitals −0.1
Goals forOttawa Senators 3.5Washington Capitals 3.6
Goals againstOttawa Senators 3.4Washington Capitals 3.7
Shots on goalOttawa Senators 27.9Washington Capitals 27.9
Shots againstOttawa Senators 27.6Washington Capitals 27.4
Shooting %Ottawa Senators 12.5%Washington Capitals 12.9%
Save %Ottawa Senators 89.5%Washington Capitals 87.6%
Power-play %Ottawa Senators 8.3%Washington Capitals 17.6%
Penalty kill %Ottawa Senators 78.7%Washington Capitals 76.2%
Faceoff %Ottawa Senators 53.8%Washington Capitals 48.1%
Penalty minutesOttawa Senators 13.6Washington Capitals 10.3
HitsOttawa Senators 24.4Washington Capitals 20.8
Blocked shotsOttawa Senators 14.8Washington Capitals 13.2
Per game · OTT at home, WSH away
Goal differential per gameOttawa Senators −0.2Washington Capitals −0.3
Goals forOttawa Senators 2.8Washington Capitals 3.2
Goals againstOttawa Senators 3.0Washington Capitals 3.5
Shots on goalOttawa Senators 24.8Washington Capitals 24.7
Shots againstOttawa Senators 25.2Washington Capitals 27.6
Shooting %Ottawa Senators 11.3%Washington Capitals 13.0%
Save %Ottawa Senators 89.7%Washington Capitals 88.4%
Power-play %Ottawa Senators 10.0%Washington Capitals 15.0%
Penalty kill %Ottawa Senators 87.5%Washington Capitals 83.7%
Faceoff %Ottawa Senators 50.0%Washington Capitals 46.4%
Penalty minutesOttawa Senators 11.1Washington Capitals 11.6
HitsOttawa Senators 27.0Washington Capitals 19.1
Blocked shotsOttawa Senators 15.1Washington Capitals 13.6
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Senators 3–2
Capitals
Goals a gameGoals
7.6
OTT 4.2 · WSH 3.4
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
4 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 5
1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Mar 18, 2026: Washington Capitals 4, Ottawa Senators 1.
- Jan 1, 2026: Ottawa Senators 4, Washington Capitals 3.
- Oct 25, 2025: Washington Capitals 1, Ottawa Senators 7.
- Mar 3, 2025: Washington Capitals 5, Ottawa Senators 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 30, 2025: Ottawa Senators 5, Washington Capitals 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Senators
3-1-1 - Win, 4–2 against Utah Mammoth, Nov 7. Odds: Senators 2.55, Mammoth 2.20.
- Win, 2–1 at Buffalo Sabres, Nov 4. Odds: Sabres 2.10, Senators 2.75.
- Loss, 3–6 at Anaheim Ducks, Nov 1. Odds: Ducks 2.60, Senators 2.20.
- Win, 5–1 at San Jose Sharks, Oct 31. Odds: Sharks 3.05, Senators 1.96.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 at Los Angeles Kings, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Kings 2.60, Senators 2.31.
Capitals
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 against Florida Panthers, Nov 7. Odds: Capitals 2.20, Panthers 2.65.
- Loss, 5–6 against Dallas Stars, Nov 3. Odds: Capitals 2.30, Stars 2.55.
- Loss, 1–5 against Minnesota Wild, Nov 1. Odds: Capitals 2.45, Wild 2.35.
- Win, 4–3 at Nashville Predators, Oct 29. Odds: Predators 2.42, Capitals 2.43.
- Win, 5–2 against Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 28. Odds: Capitals 1.62, Flyers 4.25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 00:35 Goal Washington Capitals: Roy M. assists: Chychrun J., Protas A. 0-1
- 04:47 2 min Ottawa Senators: Sanderson J. Interference
- 07:04 2 min Washington Capitals: Sourdif J. Interference
- 13:45 2 min Ottawa Senators: Cousins N. Tripping
- 17:28 2 min Washington Capitals: Leonard R. Cross checking
2nd period2-0
- 11:05 Goal Ottawa Senators: Greig R. assists: Chabot T., Amadio M. 1-1
- 16:04 Goal Ottawa Senators: Hodgson H. assists: Chabot T., Halliday S. 2-1
3rd period0-1
- 09:49 2 min Ottawa Senators: Halliday S. Interference
- 12:31 Goal Washington Capitals: Dubois P. assists: Hutson C., Wilson T. 2-2
- 13:11 2 min Washington Capitals: Chychrun J. Holding
- 19:02 2 min Ottawa Senators: Zetterlund F. Delay of game
Overtime0-1
- 01:14 Goal Washington Capitals: Hutson C. assists: Ovechkin A., Strome D. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Washington Capitals dropped from 2.07 to 1.85 since they were first published.
- 6-2-0 at home for Ottawa Senators this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ottawa Senators.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 6th vs 9th in the NHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OTT) | 2.15 | 2.55 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.20 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (WSH) | 2.70 | 2.25 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap OTT | −1.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 4 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 6 | Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 7 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 9 | Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 11 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 12 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 15 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 16 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ottawa Senators host Washington Capitals in the NHL on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.