Pardubice vs Litvinov prediction
Chance to win · 66% and 17% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2LostPardubice1.42Confidence 68%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.39Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostPardubice -0.5odds down 1.41Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPardubiceodds down 1.23Confidence 78%
- Double chanceLostPardubice or drawodds up 1.13Confidence 83%
- Draw no betLostPardubiceodds up 1.17Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPardubice1.95Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.22Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–37%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 18, 2026: Litvinov 1, Pardubice 3.
- Feb 27, 2026: Litvinov 1, Pardubice 4.
- Dec 30, 2025: Pardubice 3, Litvinov 2.
- Nov 16, 2025: Litvinov 1, Pardubice 4.
- Sep 30, 2025: Pardubice 2, Litvinov 1, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–2 at Mountfield HK, Oct 25. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.45, Pardubice 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kladno, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Kladno 3.20, Pardubice 1.90.
- Win, 4–1 at Olomouc, Oct 18. Odds: Olomouc 6.60, Pardubice 1.40.
- Win, 2–1 against Vaxjo, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Pardubice 3.74, Vaxjo 1.66.
- Win, 5–4 against Trinec, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Pardubice 2.11, Trinec 2.82.
- Loss, 1–4 against Kometa Brno, Oct 25. Odds: Litvinov 2.40, Kometa Brno 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 against Plzen, Oct 23. Odds: Litvinov 2.90, Plzen 2.11.
- Win, 3–1 against Karlovy Vary, Oct 18. Odds: Litvinov 2.65, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
- Loss, 1–4 against Mountfield HK, Oct 15. Odds: Litvinov 2.70, Hradec Kralove 2.02.
- Loss, 1–2 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 06:28 2 min Litvinov: Samal V. Slashing
- 07:59 Goal PPG Pardubice: Kostalek J. assists: Cervenka R., Stransky M. 1-0
- 14:44 Goal Pardubice: Mandat J. assists: Tomasek D., Gazda D. 2-0
- 16:58 2 min Pardubice: Mandat J. Holding
2nd period0-2
- 06:37 Goal Litvinov: Jaks J. assists: Koblasa P., Pistek T. 2-1
- 08:58 2 min Pardubice: Tourigny M. Hooking
- 17:58 2 min Pardubice: Stransky M. Slashing
- 19:48 Goal PPG Litvinov: Sukel M. assists: Pistek T., Svozil S. 2-2
3rd period0-1
- 00:25 Goal Litvinov: Kase D. assists: Kase O. 2-3
- 04:03 2 min Pardubice: Stransky M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 04:51 2 min Litvinov: Cajan P. Tripping
- 14:28 2 min Litvinov: Balaz O. Tripping
- 15:49 2 min Litvinov: Polasek A. Roughing
- 15:49 2 min Litvinov: Svozil S. High sticking
- 15:49 2 min Pardubice: Smejkal J. Roughing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Pardubice.
- In goal: Subban M. for Pardubice (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts), Cajan P. for Litvinov (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Pardubice +1.3, Litvinov −0.4 over their recent games.
- +1.4 goals at home — Pardubice averaged 4.6 at home and 3.1 away this season.
- 4.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PAR) | 1.42 | 1.42 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.50 | 5.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LIT) | 5.75 | 5.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pardubice host Litvinov in the Extraliga on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.