Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav prediction
Chance to win · 69% and 15% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2WonPardubice1.40Confidence 70%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPardubice -0.5odds up 1.37Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPardubiceodds up 1.21Confidence 79%
- Double chanceWonPardubice or drawodds down 1.11Confidence 83%
- Draw no betWonPardubiceodds up 1.15Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.19Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPardubice1.95Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.18Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–07%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 25, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 1, Pardubice 4.
- Jan 16, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 4, Pardubice 2.
- Dec 5, 2025: Pardubice 5, Mlada Boleslav 2.
- Oct 19, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 0, Pardubice 2.
- Sep 14, 2025: Pardubice 4, Mlada Boleslav 1.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 at Karlovy Vary, Oct 30. Odds: Karlovy Vary 2.80, Pardubice 2.18.
- Loss, 2–3 against Litvinov, Oct 27. Odds: Pardubice 1.42, Litvinov 5.75.
- Loss, 0–2 at Mountfield HK, Oct 25. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.45, Pardubice 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kladno, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Kladno 3.20, Pardubice 1.90.
- Win, 4–1 at Olomouc, Oct 18. Odds: Olomouc 6.60, Pardubice 1.40.
- Loss, 1–4 against Sparta Prague, Oct 30. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 3.30, Sparta Prague 1.90.
- Win, 2–1 at Karlovy Vary, Oct 27. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.65, Mlada Boleslav 4.30.
- Win, 3–2 against Ceske Budejovice, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.30, C. Budejovice 2.55.
- Loss, 2–4 at Olomouc, Oct 22. Odds: Olomouc 3.10, Mlada Boleslav 2.05.
- Win, 4–3 against Mountfield HK, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 05:31 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Budik V. Roughing
- 05:31 2 min Pardubice: Lauko J. Roughing
2nd period3-0
- 00:31 Goal Pardubice: Poulicek P. assists: Tourigny M., Nosek T. 1-0
- 06:27 2 min Pardubice: Tourigny M. Tripping
- 09:48 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Janosik A. High sticking
- 10:56 Goal PPG Pardubice: Smejkal J. assists: Cervenka R., Tomasek D. 2-0
- 12:45 2 min Pardubice: Lauko J. Cross checking
- 16:04 2 min Mlada Boleslav: — Too many men on the ice
- 19:46 Goal Pardubice: Nosek T. assists: Lauko J., Poulicek P. 3-0
3rd period1-0
- 08:47 Goal Pardubice: Tomasek D. assists: Smejkal J., Stransky M. 4-0
- 09:13 2 min Pardubice: Kaut M. Tripping
- 12:56 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Rekonen A. Slashing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Will R. for Pardubice (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Furch D. for Mlada Boleslav (1-8-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Pardubice +0.9, Mlada Boleslav −0.8 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Pardubice.
- +1.0 goals at home — Pardubice averaged 4.3 at home and 3.3 away this season.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PAR) | 1.36 | 1.39 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.75 | 5.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MLA) | 6.50 | 6.00 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap PAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pardubice host Mlada Boleslav in the Extraliga on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.