Pardubice vs Trinec prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostPardubice1.88Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.38Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTrinec +2.51.27Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPardubice1.62Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonPardubice or draw1.33Confidence 61%
- Draw no betPushPardubice1.53Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPardubice2.42Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.82Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 7% since they opened; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min4–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Apr 28, 2026: Trinec 4, Pardubice 5, after overtime.
- Apr 26, 2026: Pardubice 2, Trinec 1.
- Apr 23, 2026: Trinec 4, Pardubice 2.
- Apr 22, 2026: Trinec 5, Pardubice 4, after overtime.
- Apr 19, 2026: Pardubice 4, Trinec 2.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Vitkovice, Oct 9. Odds: Vitkovice 3.90, Pardubice 1.66.
- Win, 5–2 at Bordeaux, Oct 7.
- Win, 6–4 against Sparta Prague, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–2 against Plzen, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–2 against Ceske Budejovice, Sep 29.
- Win, 5–2 against Mountfield HK, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
- Win, 9–0 at Olomouc, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–2 against Litvinov, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–4 against Kladno, Sep 29.
- Win, 3–1 at Liberec, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 04:23 Goal Pardubice: Tomasek D. assists: Smejkal J., Stransky M. 1-0
- 05:31 2 min Trinec: Vozenilek D. Interference
- 09:45 2 min Trinec: Vozenilek D. Roughing
- 09:45 2 min Pardubice: Dvorak T. Roughing
- 10:32 Goal Pardubice: Smejkal J. assists: Gazda D., Tomasek D. 2-0
- 17:50 2 min Pardubice: Ludvig J. Interference
2nd period0-2
- 00:37 Goal Trinec: Kovarcik O. assists: Nestrasil A., Marincin M. 2-1
- 03:16 2 min Trinec: Vozenilek D. Cross checking
- 03:16 2 min Pardubice: Tomasek D. Holding
- 03:54 2 min Pardubice: Tourigny M. Tripping
- 04:07 Goal PPG Trinec: Kubiesa M. assists: Hudacek L., Pyrochta F. 2-2
- 15:36 2 min Trinec: Hudacek L. Holding
- 18:05 2 min Pardubice: Vondracek T. Holding
3rd period2-2
- 02:28 2 min Trinec: Nestrasil A. Illegal check to the head
- 05:00 Goal Pardubice: Kelemen M. assists: Poulicek P. 3-2
- 05:33 2 min Trinec: Hudacek L. Slashing
- 06:31 Goal SHG Trinec: Adamek M. assists: Kovarcik O., Nestrasil A. 3-3
- 12:41 Goal Trinec: Musil D. assists: Chlan P., Vozenilek D. 3-4
- 13:04 2 min Trinec: Kurovsky D. High sticking
- 18:52 2 min Trinec: Koch P. Holding
- 19:44 Goal PPG Pardubice: Ceresnak P. assists: Cervenka R., Tomasek D. 4-4
Overtime1-0
- 02:57 Goal Pardubice: Mandat J. assists: Ceresnak P., Nosek T. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 9-game winning streak for Trinec coming into this game.
- 7-game winning streak for Pardubice coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Trinec dropped from 2.57 to 2.20 since they were first published.
- In goal: Subban M. for Pardubice (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts), Kacetl O. for Trinec (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Pardubice.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PAR) | 2.00 | 2.11 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.29 | 4.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (TRI) | 3.04 | 2.82 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap PAR | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pardubice host Trinec in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.