Pardubice vs Vaxjo prediction
Chance to win · 60% and 23% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostPardubiceodds up 1.79Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.38Confidence 68%
- HandicapWonVaxjo +1.5odds down 1.51Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPardubiceodds up 1.46Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonPardubice or drawodds up 2.01Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushPardubiceodds up 2.75Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPardubiceodds up 2.28Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.83Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the teams play in different competitions; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
The two teams play in different competitions, so this projection leans on less.
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
- Win, 5–4 against Trinec, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Pardubice 2.11, Trinec 2.82.
- Win, 3–2 at Vitkovice, Oct 9. Odds: Vitkovice 3.90, Pardubice 1.66.
- Win, 5–2 at Bordeaux, Oct 7.
- Win, 6–4 against Sparta Prague, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–2 against Plzen, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–4 at Orebro, Oct 10. Odds: Orebro 2.32, Vaxjo 2.60.
- Loss, 0–3 against Linkoping, Oct 8.
- Win, 4–0 against Servette, Oct 6.
- Win, 3–2 against Rögle, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 02:47 2 min Vaxjo: Karlsson O. Tripping
- 17:58 Goal Vaxjo: Cehlarik P. assists: Mantykivi M. 0-1
2nd period0-0
- 04:12 2 min Pardubice: Yevtiekhov O. Cross checking
- 15:44 2 min Vaxjo: Anderberg M. Tripping
3rd period1-0
- 00:41 Goal Pardubice: Vapenik T. assists: Poulicek P. 1-1
Overtime1-0
- 03:33 Goal Pardubice: Kondelik J. assists: Tourigny M. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 8-game winning streak for Pardubice coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Vaxjo dropped from 2.50 to 1.35 since they were first published.
- In goal: Will R. for Pardubice (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Ahman A. for Vaxjo (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Pardubice +1.9, Vaxjo +0.2 over their recent games.
- Save % gap: Pardubice 89.7%, Vaxjo 86.9% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PAR) | 3.74 | 3.74 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.82 | 4.82 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VAX) | 1.66 | 1.66 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PAR | −0.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Champions Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.500 | 24 | 9 | +15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1.250 | 24 | 12 | +12 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1.167 | 22 | 9 | +13 | |
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.400 | 21 | 9 | +12 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1.000 | 28 | 14 | +14 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | .917 | 20 | 20 | 0 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | .917 | 19 | 18 | +1 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 16 | 11 | +5 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1.000 | 16 | 14 | +2 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 20 | 19 | +1 | |
| 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 18 | 12 | +6 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | .750 | 13 | 12 | +1 | |
| 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 12 | 11 | +1 | |
| 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 14 | 19 | −5 | |
| 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | .800 | 19 | 15 | +4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .667 | 15 | 19 | −4 | |
| 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .700 | 14 | 14 | 0 | |
| 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .600 | 11 | 13 | −2 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | .333 | 16 | 35 | −19 | |
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 13 | 24 | −11 | |
| 21 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 8 | 14 | −6 | |
| 22 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .100 | 6 | 19 | −13 | |
| 23 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .083 | 10 | 24 | −14 | |
| 24 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 8 | 21 | −13 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pardubice host Vaxjo in the Champions Hockey League on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.