Pavlodar vs Aktobe Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U9.5 1.25

Confidence77%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Full game

1X2WonAktobeodds down 1.04Confidence 81%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU9.51.25Confidence 77%
HandicapWonAktobe -1.5Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)WonAktobe1.02Confidence 86%
Double chanceWonAktobe or draw1.01Confidence 89%
Draw no betWonAktobe1.01Confidence 89%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonAktobe1.33Confidence 60%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.42Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Pavlodar 14

Aktobe

Final 4–7

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 11

Draw after 60 minDraw 10% Decided in regulation

AKT to winTo win 89% AKT won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–75%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–315%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 5 goals32%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 1-5 (5%), 2-5 (5%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record0-22-15-19-1

Home / road split0-10-13-9-1

StreakL10W1

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for1.22.5

Goals against7.84.5

In the standings10th8th

Head-to-head

Pavlodar 05

Aktobe

Aktobe won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.6 PAV 1.8 · AKT 5.8

Over 7.5 goalsOver 7.5 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Oct 29, 2026: Pavlodar 2, Aktobe 5.
Oct 8, 2026: Pavlodar 0, Aktobe 6.
Oct 7, 2026: Pavlodar 2, Aktobe 5.
Jan 16, 2026: Aktobe 9, Pavlodar 4.
Jan 15, 2026: Aktobe 4, Pavlodar 1.

Last five games

Pavlodar 0-5-0

Loss, 2–5 against Aktobe, Oct 29. Odds: Pavlodar 21.00, Aktobe 1.11.
Loss, 2–9 at Kokshetau, Oct 21. Odds: Kokshetau 1.01, Pavlodar 50.00.
Loss, 1–5 at Kokshetau, Oct 20. Odds: Kokshetau 1.01, Pavlodar 100.00.
Loss, 1–12 against Torpedo, Oct 16. Odds: Pavlodar 100.00, Torpedo –.
Loss, 2–9 against Torpedo, Oct 15.

Aktobe 1-4-0

Win, 5–2 at Pavlodar, Oct 29. Odds: Pavlodar 21.00, Aktobe 1.11.
Loss, 1–3 at Torpedo, Oct 26. Odds: Torpedo 1.05, Aktobe 15.00.
Loss, 2–4 at Torpedo, Oct 25. Odds: Torpedo 1.01, Aktobe 25.00.
Loss, 1–4 against Kulager, Oct 21. Odds: Aktobe 5.50, Kulager 1.40.
Loss, 1–7 against Kulager, Oct 20. Odds: Aktobe 4.70, Kulager 1.50.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-3

03:26 Goal Pavlodar: Kladov V. assists: Miller D., Guly M. 1-0
10:29 Goal Aktobe: Zakharov Z. assists: Plotnikov V. 1-1
15:55 Goal PPG Pavlodar: Guly M. assists: Pidyashov D., Akpirganov A. 2-1
16:52 Goal Aktobe: Kalinichenko M. assists: Kozorez A. 2-2
18:11 Goal Aktobe: Plotnikov V. assists: Astrakhantsev G., Zakharov Z. 2-3

2nd period1-2

06:31 Goal Aktobe: Khomenko Y. assists: Aipov G. 2-4
06:58 Goal Pavlodar: Guly M. assists: Akpirganov A. 3-4
18:45 Goal Aktobe: Zakharov Z. assists: Kalinichenko M. 3-5

3rd period1-2

03:17 Goal Pavlodar: Maltsev N. assists: Miller D. 4-5
04:31 Goal Aktobe: Tribunsky K. assists: Zakharov Z., Plotnikov V. 4-6
08:12 Goal PPG Aktobe: Khomenko Y. assists: Bazanov M., Alexandrov S. 4-7

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Pavlodar and Aktobe played yesterday.
10+ straight losses for Pavlodar coming into this game.
0-10-1 at home for Pavlodar this season.
3-9-1 away for Aktobe this season.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Aktobe.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (PAV)	20.00	25.00	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	9.50	9.50	No change
1X2: 2 (AKT)	1.07	1.04	Shortened
Over/Under line	7.5	7.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Championship standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Torpedo	26	21	3	2	44	.846	138	46	+92
2	Nomad Astana	25	20	3	2	42	.840	102	61	+41
3	Kokshetau	26	20	5	1	41	.788	97	58	+39
4	Karaganda	26	17	5	4	38	.731	108	60	+48
5	Kulager	24	13	6	5	31	.646	87	62	+25
6	Gornyak Rudny	26	14	11	1	29	.558	90	68	+22
7	Almaty	26	11	14	1	23	.442	66	92	−26
8	Aktobe	26	6	19	1	13	.250	69	117	−48
9	Beibarys Atyrau	25	5	18	2	12	.240	48	85	−37
10	Pavlodar	24	0	23	1	1	.021	31	187	−156

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Pavlodar vs Aktobe prediction