Pelicans Lahti U20 vs Ilves U20 prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonPelicans U20odds down 1.66Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.29Confidence 77%
- HandicapLostIlves U20 +1.51.62Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPelicans U201.40Confidence 64%
- Double chanceWonPelicans U20 or drawodds up 1.20Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonPelicans U20Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPelicans U20odds down 2.14Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.68Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Dec 12, 2025: Ilves U20 4, Pelicans Lahti U20 3, after overtime.
- Sep 12, 2025: Pelicans Lahti U20 5, Ilves U20 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 17, 2025: Ilves U20 1, Pelicans Lahti U20 2.
- Nov 2, 2024: Pelicans Lahti U20 6, Ilves U20 1.
Last five games
- Win, 6–3 against KooKoo U20, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at SaiPa U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 9. Odds: K-Espoo U20 2.10, Pelicans U20 2.62.
- Win, 1–0 at KooKoo U20, Sep 27.
- Loss, 2–5 against Vaasan Sport U20, Sep 26.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lukko U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves U20 1.71, Karpat U20 3.45.
- Win, 3–2 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–1 at Assat U20, Sep 27.
- Loss, 2–6 against Jyvaskyla U20, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Pelicans Lahti U20.
- 6.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 2nd vs 11th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PLU) | 1.67 | 1.67 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ILV) | 3.45 | 3.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap PLU | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pelicans Lahti U20 host Ilves U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.