Pelicans Lahti U20 vs TPS U20 prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 27% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostPelicans U20odds down 1.75Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonU6.51.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTPS U20 +1.51.52Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPelicans U20odds down 1.45Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonPelicans U20 or drawodds down 1.25Confidence 74%
- Draw no betPushPelicans U20Confidence 68%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPelicans U20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–218%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 9, 2026: TPS U20 1, Pelicans Lahti U20 7.
- Dec 20, 2025: Pelicans Lahti U20 2, TPS U20 4.
- Oct 11, 2025: TPS U20 3, Pelicans Lahti U20 2, after a shootout.
- Mar 25, 2025: Pelicans Lahti U20 7, TPS U20 3.
- Mar 23, 2025: TPS U20 1, Pelicans Lahti U20 2.
Last five games
- Win, 1–0 at Lukko U20, Oct 24. Odds: Lukko U20 2.35, Pelicans U20 2.35.
- Win, 4–3 against SaiPa U20, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.30, SaiPa U20 6.70.
- Win, 2–0 at Jokerit U20, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit U20 2.50, Pelicans U20 2.18.
- Win, 5–2 against Ilves U20, Oct 14. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.67, Ilves U20 3.45.
- Win, 6–3 against KooKoo U20, Oct 11.
- Win, 1–0 against Hameenlinna U20, Oct 28. Odds: TPS U20 2.60, HPK U20 2.12.
- Win, 2–1 at Assat U20, Oct 24. Odds: Assat U20 2.65, TPS U20 2.12.
- Win, 5–3 against IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 23. Odds: TPS U20 2.60, HIFK U20 2.12.
- Win, 7–2 against KooKoo U20, Oct 17. Odds: TPS U20 1.55, KooKoo U20 4.40.
- Win, 7–3 against RoKi U20, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Pelicans Lahti U20 coming into this game.
- 6-game winning streak for TPS U20 coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Pelicans Lahti U20 dropped from 1.45 to 1.34 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Pelicans Lahti U20, 1 for TPS U20.
- 1-1-3 away for TPS U20 this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PLU) | 1.80 | 1.62 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.45 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (U20) | 3.35 | 3.90 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PLU | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pelicans Lahti U20 host TPS U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.