Pelicans vs SaiPa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O3.5 1.28

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostSaiPaodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.28Confidence 72%
HandicapLostSaiPa +1.5odds up 1.29Confidence 74%
Winner (incl. OT)LostSaiPaodds up 1.94Confidence 62%
Double chanceLostSaiPa or drawodds up 1.50Confidence 71%
Draw no betLostSaiPaodds up 1.90Confidence 63%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDraw2.35Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.65Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Pelicans 14

SaiPa

Final 5–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

SAI to winTo win 60% PEL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min5–05%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–024%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-0, 0-2, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-6-112-3-1

Home / road split4-3-15-2-0

StreakW2W5

Rest3 days3 days

Goals for2.43.1

Goals against2.41.7

In the standings13th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.5+0.9

Goals for2.13.1

Goals against2.62.2

Shots on goal23.526.7

Shots against17.223.9

Shooting %8.9%11.6%

Save %86.0%91.2%

Power-play %15.6%18.6%

Penalty kill %82.9%86.1%

Faceoff %47.0%51.9%

Penalty minutes11.27.2

Blocked shots8.310.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Pelicans 23

SaiPa

SaiPa won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 PEL 2.8 · SAI 3.2

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 5 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Mar 11, 2026: Pelicans 4, SaiPa 1.
Mar 7, 2026: SaiPa 4, Pelicans 2.
Nov 20, 2025: SaiPa 2, Pelicans 3, after overtime.
Sep 27, 2025: Pelicans 2, SaiPa 5.
Mar 8, 2025: Pelicans 3, SaiPa 4.

Last five games

Pelicans 2-2-1

Win, 5–4 against Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Pelicans 3.00, Tappara 2.05.
Win, 3–1 at Hameenlinna, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.
Loss, 1–3 at KalPa, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
Loss, 1–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.

SaiPa 5-0-0

Win, 3–1 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 24. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.85, SaiPa 2.01.
Win, 5–3 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 23. Odds: Vaasan Sport 3.30, SaiPa 1.86.
Win, 2–1 against Karpat, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: SaiPa 1.95, Karpat 2.82.
Win, 7–1 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.
Win, 2–1 against Hameenlinna, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

03:59 2 min SaiPa: Perttu M. Tripping
07:18 2 min Pelicans: Jordan M. High sticking
14:19 2 min Pelicans: Kettunen A. Interference
17:09 2 min SaiPa: Heikkila J. High sticking

2nd period1-0

15:20 2 min Pelicans: Falk H. Cross checking
19:47 Goal Pelicans: Lind O. assists: Falk H., Kousa M. 1-0

3rd period4-0

01:25 2 min Pelicans: Kousa M. Tripping
01:25 2 min SaiPa: Peski A. Diving
05:21 Goal Pelicans: Johannesen J. assists: Lind O. 2-0
08:43 2 min Pelicans: Tyrvainen A. Tripping
14:49 Goal Pelicans: Batna O. assists: Hamalainen S., Falk H. 3-0
16:05 2 min SaiPa: Emanuelsson E. Tripping
16:16 2 min Pelicans: Batna O. High sticking
18:27 Goal ENG Pelicans: Vaananen M. assists: Tyrvainen A., Batna O. 4-0
19:36 Goal Pelicans: Myklukha O. assists: Lind O., Kettunen A. 5-0

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

5-game winning streak for SaiPa coming into this game.
In goal: Bartosak P. for Pelicans (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Grigals G. for SaiPa (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Pelicans −0.5, SaiPa +0.9 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for SaiPa.
Save % gap: Pelicans 86.0%, SaiPa 91.2% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (PEL)	2.05	2.05	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (SAI)	2.85	2.85	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap PEL	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Pelicans vs SaiPa prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details