Pelicans vs Tappara Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O3.5 1.32

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostTapparaodds down 2.37Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.51.32Confidence 72%
HandicapWonPelicans +1.5odds up 1.28Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostTapparaodds down 1.82Confidence 57%
Double chanceWonTappara or drawodds down 1.47Confidence 69%
Draw no betPushTapparaodds down 1.83Confidence 59%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.16Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.61Confidence 59%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Pelicans 23

Tappara

Final 5–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Went to a shootout

TAP to winTo win 56% PEL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–125%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-6-18-6-1

Home / road split3-3-13-4-1

StreakW1W1

Rest3 days2 days

Goals for2.22.7

Goals against2.22.1

In the standings13th10th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.6+0.8

Goals for1.92.7

Goals against2.51.9

Shots on goal23.624.6

Shots against17.522.7

Shooting %8.1%11.0%

Save %86.9%91.6%

Power-play %12.5%20.7%

Penalty kill %77.1%85.7%

Faceoff %45.9%56.8%

Penalty minutes13.34.2

Blocked shots10.410.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Pelicans 14

Tappara

Tappara won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 PEL 1.6 · TAP 3.6

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Sep 15, 2026: Pelicans 2, Tappara 3.
Feb 20, 2026: Pelicans 4, Tappara 3.
Dec 26, 2025: Tappara 5, Pelicans 0.
Nov 15, 2025: Tappara 2, Pelicans 0.
Oct 22, 2025: Pelicans 2, Tappara 5.

Last five games

Pelicans 2-2-1

Win, 3–1 at Hameenlinna, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.
Loss, 1–3 at KalPa, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
Loss, 1–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.
Win, 6–3 at KooKoo, Oct 3.

Tappara 2-2-1

Win, 3–0 against Assat, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara 2.15, Assat 2.75.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: KooKoo 3.45, Tappara 1.65.
Loss, 2–3 at Jukurit, Oct 17. Odds: Jukurit 3.11, Tappara 2.11.
Loss, 1–2 against Lukko, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara 1.88, Lukko 3.65.
Win, 6–3 at Tychy, Oct 13. Odds: Tychy 8.90, Tappara 1.23.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-1

01:30 2 min Pelicans: — Too many men on the ice
08:03 Goal Pelicans: Lind O. assists: Lerby C., Johannesen J. 1-0
11:27 Goal Pelicans: Lind O. assists: Myklukha O., Kettunen A. 2-0
13:29 Goal Tappara: Simontaival K. assists: Suvanto O., Almari N. 2-1

2nd period1-2

00:01 Goalie change Tappara: Metsola J. replaces Heljanko C.
02:12 Goal Pelicans: Falk H. assists: Dudas A., Jordan M. 3-1
05:07 Goal Tappara: Lindqvist M. assists: Mattila Ju., Kulonummi K. 3-2
05:43 Goal Tappara: Tuulola J. assists: Haapala H., Simontaival K. 3-3
10:06 2 min Pelicans: Vaananen M. Slashing
14:56 2 min Pelicans: Jordan M. Tripping

3rd period1-1

00:21 2 min Tappara: Pavel O. Tripping
06:09 Goal Tappara: Pavel O. assists: Almari N., Mattila Ju. 3-4
07:56 2 min Pelicans: Olkinuora J. Roughing
07:56 Penalty Tappara: Pavel O. Unsportsmanlike conduct
14:27 2 min Tappara: Jokipakka J. Tripping
15:34 Goal PPG Pelicans: Nutivaara M. assists: Dudas A., Batna O. 4-4

Overtime0-0

03:39 2 min Tappara: Lindqvist M. Tripping

Shootout2-1

Round 1 Dudas A. scored Simontaival K. scored
Round 2 Stapley B. missed Rautiainen B. missed
Round 3 Hamalainen S. scored Tuulola J. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Olkinuora J. for Pelicans (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Heljanko C. for Tappara (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Pelicans −0.6, Tappara +0.8 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tappara.
Save % gap: Pelicans 86.9%, Tappara 91.6% over their recent games.
5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (PEL)	2.50	3.00	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (TAP)	2.30	2.05	Shortened
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap PEL	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Pelicans vs Tappara prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details