Pelicans vs Vaasan Sport prediction
Chance to win · 58% and 20% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostPelicansodds down 1.99Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonVaasan Sport +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPelicansodds down 1.60Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostPelicans or drawodds down 1.32Confidence 81%
- Draw no betLostPelicansodds down 1.52Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPelicansodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.73Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–220%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 1-0, 0-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 4, 2026: Pelicans 6, Vaasan Sport 3.
- Feb 27, 2026: Pelicans 3, Vaasan Sport 2, after a shootout.
- Jan 24, 2026: Vaasan Sport 2, Pelicans 3.
- Dec 11, 2025: Vaasan Sport 0, Pelicans 4.
- Dec 5, 2025: Pelicans 3, Vaasan Sport 0.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.
- Win, 6–3 at KooKoo, Oct 3.
- Win, 2–1 against IFK Helsinki, Sep 26.
- Loss, 0–3 at Jokerit, Sep 22.
- Loss, 1–3 against JYP, Sep 19.
- Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, Oct 15. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.07, KooKoo 2.52.
- Win, 2–1 against Ilves, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against IFK Helsinki, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–2 against Karpat, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 0–1 against Kiekko-Espoo, after overtime, Sep 23.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 02:19 Goal Vaasan Sport: Straka A. assists: Pietila B., Viljanen V. 0-1
- 11:46 2 min Pelicans: Falk H. Holding
- 13:38 Goal PPG Vaasan Sport: Grainger L. assists: Diaco G., Walther I. 0-2
2nd period0-0
- 06:13 2 min Pelicans: Falk H. Holding
3rd period1-0
- 04:40 2 min Vaasan Sport: Johnsson T. Hooking
- 08:21 Goal Pelicans: Kettunen A. assists: Lind O., Stapley B. 1-2
- 15:00 2 min Pelicans: Batna O. Roughing
- 15:07 2 min Vaasan Sport: — Delay of game
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Vaasan Sport, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Pelicans dropped from 1.60 to 1.44 since they were first published.
- 1-4-0 away for Vaasan Sport this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Pelicans.
- In goal: Bartosak P. for Pelicans (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Harkonen M. for Vaasan Sport (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PEL) | 1.64 | 1.64 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.14 | 4.14 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VAA) | 4.76 | 4.80 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap PEL | −0.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pelicans host Vaasan Sport in the Liiga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.