Penn State Nittany Lions vs Canisius Golden Griffins prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonPenn Stateodds down 1.50Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.67Confidence 68%
- HandicapLostCanisius +1.5odds down 1.90Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPenn Stateodds down 1.29Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonPenn State or draw1.16Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonPenn State1.22Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPenn Stateodds down 2.02Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.78Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Penn State 4–3
Canisius Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min5–12%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (0%)
Season so far
This seasonPenn State Nittany Lions
Canisius Golden Griffins
Head-to-head
Penn State 3–0
Canisius - Oct 24, 2026: Penn State Nittany Lions 3, Canisius Golden Griffins 2, after overtime.
- Jan 18, 2025: Penn State Nittany Lions 3, Canisius Golden Griffins 2.
- Jan 17, 2025: Penn State Nittany Lions 4, Canisius Golden Griffins 0.
Last five games
Penn State
0-5-0 - Loss, 2–5 against Robert Morris, Oct 20.
- Loss, 3–6 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Oct 16. Odds: Penn State 3.00, Quinnipiac 1.75.
- Loss, 3–6 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–3 at Connecticut Huskies, Oct 9. Odds: UConn 2.30, Penn State 2.47.
- Loss, 1–3 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Mar 27.
Canisius
3-2-0 - Loss, 0–5 at Clarkson Golden Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Clarkson 1.62, Canisius 3.60.
- Win, 4–3 at Clarkson Golden Knights, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Clarkson 1.62, Canisius 3.50.
- Loss, 2–3 at Long Island Sharks, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Long Island Sharks, Oct 9. Odds: Long Island 1.93, Canisius 3.10.
- Win, 6–5 against Ferris State Bulldogs, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Penn State Nittany Lions coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Canisius Golden Griffins, 2 for Penn State Nittany Lions.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Penn State Nittany Lions.
- 4.7 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PSN) | 1.47 | 1.47 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.55 | 4.55 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CGG) | 4.85 | 4.85 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PSN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Golden Gophers |
30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Wolverines |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 |
| 3 | Penn State Nittany Lions |
30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ohio State Buckeyes |
29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 |
| 5 |  Michigan State Spartans |
32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 |
| 6 |  Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin Badgers |
30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RIT Tigers |
30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 |
| 2 |  Niagara Purple Eagles |
30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 |  Sacred Heart Pioneers |
30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 5 | Canisius Golden Griffins |
29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 6 |  Army Black Knights |
30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 7 |  Holy Cross Crusaders |
30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 |
| 8 |  Air Force Falcons |
32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bentley Falcons |
29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Penn State Nittany Lions host Canisius Golden Griffins in the NCAA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.