Penn State Nittany Lions vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction
Chance to win · 60% and 22% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostPenn Stateodds down 1.87Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.32Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonNotre Dame +1.5odds up 1.55Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPenn Stateodds up 1.46Confidence 71%
- Double chanceWonPenn State or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 80%
- Draw no betPushPenn Stateodds down 1.47Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPenn Stateodds up 2.26Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Penn State 3–2
Notre Dame Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonPenn State Nittany Lions
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Head-to-head
Penn State 3–2
Notre Dame - Nov 7, 2026: Penn State Nittany Lions 2, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4.
- Feb 28, 2026: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4, Penn State Nittany Lions 3, after overtime.
- Feb 27, 2026: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3, Penn State Nittany Lions 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 17, 2026: Penn State Nittany Lions 6, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3.
- Jan 16, 2026: Penn State Nittany Lions 4, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1.
Last five games
Penn State
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Minnesota Golden Gophers, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Minnesota 1.67, Penn State 3.50.
- Win, 2–1 at Minnesota Golden Gophers, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Minnesota 1.76, Penn State 3.10.
- Win, 3–2 against Canisius Golden Griffins, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Penn State 1.50, Canisius 4.80.
- Win, 5–1 against Canisius Golden Griffins, Oct 23. Odds: Penn State 1.47, Canisius 4.85.
- Loss, 2–5 against Robert Morris, Oct 20.
Notre Dame
0-4-1 - Loss, 1–9 at Wisconsin Badgers, Oct 31.
- Loss, 1–7 at Wisconsin Badgers, Oct 30. Odds: Wisconsin 1.33, Notre Dame 5.50.
- Loss, 3–6 against Merrimack Warriors, Oct 24. Odds: Notre Dame 3.05, Merrimack 1.88.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Merrimack Warriors, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Notre Dame 2.95, Merrimack 1.90.
- Loss, 0–4 against Western Michigan Broncos, Oct 17. Odds: Notre Dame 4.45, W. Michigan 1.42.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Notre Dame Fighting Irish coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Penn State Nittany Lions.
- +1.0 goals at home — Penn State Nittany Lions averaged 3.3 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 3rd vs 6th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PSN) | 1.71 | 1.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (NDF) | 3.55 | 3.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PSN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Golden Gophers |
30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Wolverines |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 |
| 3 | Penn State Nittany Lions |
30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ohio State Buckeyes |
29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 |
| 5 |  Michigan State Spartans |
32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 |
| 6 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin Badgers |
30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Penn State Nittany Lions host Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the NCAA on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.