Penn State Nittany Lions vs Quinnipiac Bobcats Prediction & Picks

NCAA Friday, October 16, 2026Fri · Oct 16

HomePenn State Nittany LionsState Nittany Lions19-2-03rd in the standingsLLLLW

36 FT Puck drop 19:00 ET 3.001.75

1st 2nd 3rd

PSN 2 0 1

QUI 3 2 1

USAUSA

AwayQuinnipiac Bobcats24-0-01st in the standingsLWWWL

33%Penn State Nittany Lions win · 25% in regulationPSN Overtime or shootout · 18%OT / SO 18% 67%Quinnipiac Bobcats win · 57% in regulationQUI

Chance to win · 25% and 57% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.64

Confidence54%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Full game

1X2WonQuinnipiacodds down 1.77Confidence 54%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.64Confidence 54%
HandicapLostPenn State +1.51.55Confidence 54%
Winner (incl. OT)WonQuinnipiacodds down 1.47Confidence 58%
Double chanceWonQuinnipiac or drawodds down 1.25Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonQuinnipiacodds down 1.38Confidence 60%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonQuinnipiacodds down 2.17Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.68Confidence 55%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Penn State 23

Quinnipiac

Final 3–6

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Decided in regulation

QUI to winTo win 67% QUI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–64%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–39%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 5 goals31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (2%)

Last five games

Penn State 1-4-0

Loss, 3–6 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 10.
Loss, 1–3 at Connecticut Huskies, Oct 9. Odds: UConn 2.30, Penn State 2.47.
Loss, 1–3 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Mar 27.
Loss, 2–5 at Michigan Wolverines, Mar 14.
Win, 6–2 against Minnesota Golden Gophers, Mar 11.

Quinnipiac 3-2-0

Loss, 3–5 at Maine Black Bears, Oct 10.
Win, 2–1 at Maine Black Bears, Oct 9. Odds: Maine 3.30, Quinnipiac 1.83.
Win, 6–3 against Merrimack Warriors, Oct 3.
Win, 10–2 against New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 2.
Loss, 0–5 at North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Mar 28.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (PSN)	3.00	3.00	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.75	3.75	No change
1X2: 2 (QUI)	1.75	1.75	No change
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap PSN	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NCAA standings

NCAA · Big Ten

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Minnesota Golden Gophers	30	21	3	1	122	2.033
2	Michigan Wolverines	30	20	2	0	123	2.050
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	30	19	2	0	105	1.750
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	29	16	0	0	93	1.603
5	Michigan State Spartans	32	15	2	0	92	1.438
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	30	12	0	1	68	1.133
7	Wisconsin Badgers	30	11	0	0	74	1.233

NCAA · ECAC

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Quinnipiac Bobcats	29	24	0	0	116	2.000
2	Harvard Crimson	25	17	1	0	92	1.840
3	Cornell Big Red	25	16	1	1	92	1.840
4	St. Lawrence Saints	30	15	1	0	76	1.267
5	Colgate Raiders	30	13	2	1	86	1.433
6	Union Dutchmen	30	13	1	1	76	1.267
7	Clarkson Golden Knights	30	13	3	1	82	1.367
8	Princeton Tigers	25	11	2	0	73	1.460
9	Rensselaer Engineers	30	12	2	0	74	1.233
10	Brown Bears	25	9	2	0	59	1.180
11	Yale Bulldogs	25	5	1	1	43	.860
12	Dartmouth Big Green	25	4	4	0	60	1.200

Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.

Penn State Nittany Lions host Quinnipiac Bobcats in the NCAA on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.