Peterborough Petes vs Barrie Colts prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonPeterboroughodds down 1.58Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.40Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostBarrie +1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPeterboroughodds down 1.34Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonPeterborough or drawodds down 1.19Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonPeterboroughodds down 1.29Confidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.05Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPeterboroughodds down 2.04Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.62Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–03%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Mar 19, 2026: Peterborough Petes 5, Barrie Colts 4, after overtime.
- Nov 15, 2025: Barrie Colts 3, Peterborough Petes 1.
- Feb 22, 2025: Barrie Colts 4, Peterborough Petes 3.
- Jan 9, 2025: Peterborough Petes 5, Barrie Colts 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 against North Bay Battalion, Oct 15. Odds: Peterborough 1.86, North Bay 3.19.
- Loss, 1–3 at North Bay Battalion, Oct 12. Odds: North Bay 2.36, Peterborough 2.43.
- Win, 2–1 at Soo Greyhounds, after overtime, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–7 at Sudbury Wolves, Oct 9. Odds: Sudbury 1.90, Peterborough 3.00.
- Loss, 3–5 at Kingston Frontenacs, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–1 at Brantford Bulldogs, Oct 16. Odds: Brantford 1.49, Barrie 4.70.
- Loss, 2–3 at Erie Otters, Oct 11. Odds: Erie 1.56, Barrie 4.47.
- Loss, 2–4 at Niagara IceDogs, Oct 10. Odds: Niagara 1.95, Barrie 2.80.
- Loss, 4–7 against Kingston Frontenacs, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–3 against Sarnia Sting, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 11:36 Goal Peterborough Petes: Dennis C. assists: McCallum B., Karmiris L. 1-0
2nd period4-0
- 01:07 Goal PPG Peterborough Petes: Novotny A. assists: Dennis C., Kolarik L. 2-0
- 04:23 Goal PPG Peterborough Petes: Karmiris L. assists: Novotny A. 3-0
- 16:13 Goal PPG Peterborough Petes: Dennis C. assists: Novotny A., Lutz Y. 4-0
- 16:55 Goal PPG Peterborough Petes: Novotny A. assists: Dennis C., Lutz Y. 5-0
3rd period1-0
- 12:50 Goal PPG Peterborough Petes: Novotny A. assists: Lutz Y., Karmiris L. 6-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Barrie Colts, who played yesterday.
- 4-game losing streak for Barrie Colts coming into this game.
- 0-5-0 away for Barrie Colts this season.
- +2.2 goals at home — Peterborough Petes averaged 4.2 at home and 2.0 away this season.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PET) | 1.67 | 1.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.60 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (BAR) | 3.69 | 4.60 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap PET | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 75 | 50 | +25 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 76 | 53 | +23 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 82 | 65 | +17 | |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 56 | +3 | |
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 18 | .474 | 59 | 66 | −7 | |
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .500 | 50 | 64 | −14 | |
| 7 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 17 | .447 | 56 | 66 | −10 | |
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .395 | 68 | 79 | −11 | |
| 9 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 10 | .263 | 52 | 83 | −31 | |
| 10 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .237 | 41 | 73 | −32 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Peterborough Petes host Barrie Colts in the OHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.