Peterborough Petes vs Niagara IceDogs prediction
Chance to win · 50% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostPeterboroughodds down 1.51Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.38Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonNiagara +1.51.88Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPeterboroughodds down 1.29Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonPeterborough or drawodds down 1.16Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushPeterboroughodds down 1.25Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPeterboroughodds down 1.98Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Nov 1, 2026: Niagara IceDogs 3, Peterborough Petes 4, after overtime.
- Mar 6, 2026: Niagara IceDogs 1, Peterborough Petes 4.
- Jan 17, 2026: Peterborough Petes 1, Niagara IceDogs 0.
- Dec 18, 2025: Peterborough Petes 5, Niagara IceDogs 2.
- Nov 30, 2025: Niagara IceDogs 3, Peterborough Petes 6.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–4 against Windsor Spitfires, Nov 5. Odds: Peterborough 2.13, Windsor 2.60.
- Win, 4–3 at Niagara IceDogs, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Niagara 3.30, Peterborough 1.87.
- Loss, 1–4 at Kingston Frontenacs, Oct 30. Odds: Kingston 2.25, Peterborough 2.50.
- Win, 4–3 against Brantford Bulldogs, Oct 29. Odds: Peterborough 1.95, Brantford 3.20.
- Loss, 0–5 at Oshawa Generals, Oct 23. Odds: Oshawa 2.95, Peterborough 2.02.
- Loss, 3–6 against Brampton Steelheads, Nov 5. Odds: Niagara 1.73, Brampton 3.40.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Peterborough Petes, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Niagara 3.30, Peterborough 1.87.
- Loss, 3–7 against North Bay Battalion, Oct 30. Odds: Niagara 2.40, North Bay 2.40.
- Loss, 2–5 at Erie Otters, Oct 24. Odds: Erie 1.87, Niagara 3.30.
- Win, 4–3 against Erie Otters, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Niagara 2.47, Erie 2.27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:22 Goal Peterborough Petes: McCallum B. assists: Clarke J., Levac A. 1-0
2nd period0-1
- 14:09 Goal Niagara IceDogs: Colosimo C. assists: Hull C. 1-1
3rd period1-1
- 08:26 Goal Peterborough Petes: Minsky M. assists: Kolarik L., Parish F. 2-1
- 17:41 Goal PPG Niagara IceDogs: Banas J. assists: McFadden W., Edgar R. 2-2
Overtime1-0
- 01:38 Goal Peterborough Petes: Novotny A. assists: Levac A., Cameron C. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Niagara IceDogs coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Peterborough Petes dropped from 1.28 to 1.18 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Peterborough Petes.
- +2.4 goals at home — Peterborough Petes averaged 4.3 at home and 1.9 away this season.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PET) | 1.52 | 1.42 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.90 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (NIA) | 4.50 | 5.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap PET | −1.5 | −2.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 75 | 50 | +25 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 76 | 53 | +23 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 82 | 65 | +17 | |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 56 | +3 | |
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 18 | .474 | 59 | 66 | −7 | |
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .500 | 50 | 64 | −14 | |
| 7 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 17 | .447 | 56 | 66 | −10 | |
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .395 | 68 | 79 | −11 | |
| 9 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 10 | .263 | 52 | 83 | −31 | |
| 10 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .237 | 41 | 73 | −32 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Peterborough Petes host Niagara IceDogs in the OHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.