Peterborough Petes vs Windsor Spitfires prediction
Chance to win · 27% and 52% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonWindsorodds up 2.20Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonPeterborough +1.51.36Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonWindsorodds up 1.75Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonWindsor or drawodds up 1.43Confidence 74%
- Draw no betWonWindsorodds up 1.74Confidence 68%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.04Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostWindsorodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.64Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 1-2 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 26, 2026: Windsor Spitfires 4, Peterborough Petes 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 11, 2025: Peterborough Petes 3, Windsor Spitfires 6.
- Feb 27, 2025: Peterborough Petes 1, Windsor Spitfires 7.
- Nov 10, 2024: Windsor Spitfires 4, Peterborough Petes 1.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 at Niagara IceDogs, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Niagara 3.30, Peterborough 1.87.
- Loss, 1–4 at Kingston Frontenacs, Oct 30. Odds: Kingston 2.25, Peterborough 2.50.
- Win, 4–3 against Brantford Bulldogs, Oct 29. Odds: Peterborough 1.95, Brantford 3.20.
- Loss, 0–5 at Oshawa Generals, Oct 23. Odds: Oshawa 2.95, Peterborough 2.02.
- Win, 5–4 against Oshawa Generals, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Peterborough 1.53, Oshawa 4.60.
- Win, 3–0 at Brampton Steelheads, Nov 1. Odds: Brampton 4.33, Windsor 1.57.
- Win, 8–0 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 31. Odds: Owen Sound 3.00, Windsor 2.00.
- Win, 3–0 against Erie Otters, Oct 29. Odds: Windsor 1.95, Erie 3.00.
- Win, 4–3 against Soo Greyhounds, Oct 24. Odds: Windsor 2.15, Sault Ste Marie 2.80.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Soo Greyhounds, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 1.80, Windsor 3.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 09:52 Goal Peterborough Petes: McMurray J. assists: Hartnell C., Perreault M. 1-0
2nd period0-2
- 10:39 Goal Windsor Spitfires: Marentette T. assists: Brocklehurst M., Garden E. 1-1
- 14:24 Goal PPG Windsor Spitfires: Svrcek M. assists: Debruyn J. 1-2
3rd period2-2
- 00:56 Goal PPG Windsor Spitfires: Brocklehurst M. assists: Bergeron T., Debruyn J. 1-3
- 08:41 Goal Peterborough Petes: Hankai C. assists: Young A. 2-3
- 15:16 Goal PPG Peterborough Petes: Novotny A. assists: Karmiris L., Levac A. 3-3
- 16:53 Goal PPG Windsor Spitfires: Robinson A. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Windsor Spitfires coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Peterborough Petes dropped from 1.95 to 1.69 since they were first published.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Windsor Spitfires.
- 6-2-0 at home for Peterborough Petes this season.
- 7.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PET) | 2.49 | 2.13 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (WIN) | 2.22 | 2.60 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap PET | +1.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · East Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 75 | 50 | +25 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 82 | 65 | +17 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 56 | +3 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 18 | .474 | 59 | 66 | −7 | |
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 17 | .447 | 56 | 66 | −10 |
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Peterborough Petes host Windsor Spitfires in the OHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.