Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche prediction
Philadelphia Flyers 3–, Colorado Avalanche 2
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 4.251X2 1.62
Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA) · USAXfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
PHI
1
1
1
COL
0
1
1
35%Philadelphia win · 25% in regulationPHI
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
65%Colorado win · 53% in regulationCOL
Chance to win · 25% and 53% in regulation
Woll J.StartedSV 90.2% · GAA 3.30 · 2-5-3
Blackwood M.StartedSV 89.8% · GAA 2.50 · 7-3-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Lost
Avalanche or draw
odds down 1.27
Confidence76%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostAvalancheodds down 1.75Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.34Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonFlyers +2.5odds up 1.36Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostAvalancheodds down 1.46Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostAvalanche or drawodds down 1.27Confidence 76%
- Draw no betLostAvalancheodds down 1.41Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostAvalancheodds down 2.26Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.74Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Flyers 2–4
Avalanche
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Colorado to winTo win
65%
PHI won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (3%), 3-5 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Philadelphia Flyers
Colorado Avalanche
Philadelphia Flyers
Colorado Avalanche
Season recordPhiladelphia Flyers 1-6-3Colorado Avalanche 5-2-1
Home / road splitPhiladelphia Flyers 1-2-2Colorado Avalanche 2-1-0
StreakPhiladelphia Flyers W1Colorado Avalanche W1
RestPhiladelphia Flyers 1 dayColorado Avalanche 2 days
Goals forPhiladelphia Flyers 1.4Colorado Avalanche 4.5
Goals againstPhiladelphia Flyers 3.4Colorado Avalanche 3.0
In the standingsPhiladelphia Flyers 6thColorado Avalanche 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gamePhiladelphia Flyers −1.9Colorado Avalanche +1.0
Goals forPhiladelphia Flyers 1.4Colorado Avalanche 4.0
Goals againstPhiladelphia Flyers 3.3Colorado Avalanche 3.0
Shots on goalPhiladelphia Flyers 21.2Colorado Avalanche 30.2
Shots againstPhiladelphia Flyers 32.6Colorado Avalanche 25.4
Shooting %Philadelphia Flyers 6.6%Colorado Avalanche 13.2%
Save %Philadelphia Flyers 90.2%Colorado Avalanche 89.0%
Power-play %Philadelphia Flyers 8.6%Colorado Avalanche 14.6%
Penalty kill %Philadelphia Flyers 86.0%Colorado Avalanche 88.2%
Faceoff %Philadelphia Flyers 50.5%Colorado Avalanche 48.6%
Penalty minutesPhiladelphia Flyers 9.7Colorado Avalanche 9.6
HitsPhiladelphia Flyers 24.6Colorado Avalanche 18.7
Blocked shotsPhiladelphia Flyers 14.0Colorado Avalanche 15.4
Per game · PHI at home, COL away
Goal differential per gamePhiladelphia Flyers −1.1Colorado Avalanche +0.8
Goals forPhiladelphia Flyers 1.9Colorado Avalanche 3.4
Goals againstPhiladelphia Flyers 3.0Colorado Avalanche 2.6
Shots on goalPhiladelphia Flyers 23.7Colorado Avalanche 30.8
Shots againstPhiladelphia Flyers 32.6Colorado Avalanche 25.0
Shooting %Philadelphia Flyers 8.0%Colorado Avalanche 11.0%
Save %Philadelphia Flyers 91.1%Colorado Avalanche 90.4%
Power-play %Philadelphia Flyers 6.3%Colorado Avalanche 10.8%
Penalty kill %Philadelphia Flyers 83.1%Colorado Avalanche 83.8%
Faceoff %Philadelphia Flyers 51.8%Colorado Avalanche 51.5%
Penalty minutesPhiladelphia Flyers 13.4Colorado Avalanche 9.9
HitsPhiladelphia Flyers 33.4Colorado Avalanche 21.4
Blocked shotsPhiladelphia Flyers 12.5Colorado Avalanche 14.2
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Flyers 1–3
Avalanche
Goals a gameGoals
5.5
PHI 2.8 · COL 2.8
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
1 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 4
All decided in regulation
- Jan 23, 2026: Colorado Avalanche 3, Philadelphia Flyers 7.
- Dec 7, 2025: Philadelphia Flyers 2, Colorado Avalanche 3.
- Feb 2, 2025: Colorado Avalanche 2, Philadelphia Flyers 0.
- Nov 18, 2024: Philadelphia Flyers 2, Colorado Avalanche 3.
Last five games
Flyers
1-3-1 - Win, 3–1 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 17. Odds: Flyers 3.08, Senators 2.03.
- Loss, 1–2 at Detroit Red Wings, Oct 15. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Flyers 2.85.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Seattle Kraken, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Flyers 2.41, Kraken 2.49.
- Loss, 1–4 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 11. Odds: Flyers 3.94, Hurricanes 1.79.
- Loss, 1–5 at Boston Bruins, Oct 10. Odds: Bruins 2.10, Flyers 2.90.
Avalanche
3-1-1 - Win, 5–2 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 16. Odds: Avalanche 1.75, Penguins 3.50.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Dallas Stars, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Avalanche 2.04, Stars 3.18.
- Win, 3–2 at Dallas Stars, Oct 13. Odds: Stars 2.43, Avalanche 2.60.
- Loss, 3–6 against Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 10. Odds: Avalanche 1.86, Maple Leafs 3.25.
- Win, 7–3 at Calgary Flames, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:07 2 min Colorado Avalanche: — Too many men on the ice
- 07:41 Goal PPG Philadelphia Flyers: Michkov M. assists: Barkey D., Zegras T. 1-0
- 07:41 2 min Colorado Avalanche: — Delay of game
2nd period1-1
- 12:23 Goal Philadelphia Flyers: Michkov M. assists: Zegras T., Cates N. 2-0
- 15:49 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Sanheim T. Roughing
- 17:52 Goal Colorado Avalanche: Necas M. assists: Lehkonen A., Toews D. 2-1
3rd period1-1
- 00:42 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Couturier S. High sticking
- 06:34 Goal Philadelphia Flyers: Acciari N. assists: Bonk O., Zegras T. 3-1
- 14:40 Goal Colorado Avalanche: Hughes T. assists: Svechkov F., Malinski S. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-2-2 at home for Philadelphia Flyers this season.
- In goal: Woll J. for Philadelphia Flyers (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts), Blackwood M. for Colorado Avalanche (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.9 per game — Philadelphia Flyers −1.9, Colorado Avalanche +1.0 over their recent games.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Colorado Avalanche.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Philadelphia Flyers.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PHI) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (COL) | 1.62 | 1.62 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap PHI | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Philadelphia Flyers host Colorado Avalanche in the NHL on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.