Philadelphia Flyers vs Minnesota Wild prediction
Philadelphia Flyers 2–, Minnesota Wild 4
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 3.501X2 1.83
Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA) · USAXfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
PHI
0
1
1
MIN
2
1
1
40%Philadelphia win · 30% in regulationPHI
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
60%Minnesota win · 47% in regulationMIN
Chance to win · 30% and 47% in regulation
Vladar D.StartedSV 88.3% · GAA 3.40 · 3-4-3
Wallstedt J.StartedSV 91.6% · GAA 2.10 · 7-1-2
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Flyers +2.5
odds up 1.26
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonWildodds down 1.93Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.40Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFlyers +2.5odds up 1.26Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonWildodds down 1.55Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonWild or drawodds down 1.33Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonWildodds down 1.52Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonWildodds down 2.46Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.81Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Flyers 2–4
Wild
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 6
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
Minnesota to winTo win
60%
MIN won
Score details
- Correct scoreWon2–4After 60 min2–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (3%), 3-5 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Philadelphia Flyers
Minnesota Wild
Philadelphia Flyers
Minnesota Wild
Season recordPhiladelphia Flyers 4-8-4Minnesota Wild 10-3-3
Home / road splitPhiladelphia Flyers 3-3-3Minnesota Wild 6-3-2
StreakPhiladelphia Flyers W1Minnesota Wild W1
RestPhiladelphia Flyers 1 dayMinnesota Wild 1 day
Goals forPhiladelphia Flyers 2.2Minnesota Wild 3.3
Goals againstPhiladelphia Flyers 3.4Minnesota Wild 2.3
In the standingsPhiladelphia Flyers 6thMinnesota Wild 1st
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gamePhiladelphia Flyers −0.1Minnesota Wild +0.8
Goals forPhiladelphia Flyers 2.8Minnesota Wild 3.3
Goals againstPhiladelphia Flyers 2.9Minnesota Wild 2.5
Shots on goalPhiladelphia Flyers 25.0Minnesota Wild 31.4
Shots againstPhiladelphia Flyers 25.7Minnesota Wild 23.8
Shooting %Philadelphia Flyers 11.2%Minnesota Wild 10.5%
Save %Philadelphia Flyers 89.1%Minnesota Wild 89.5%
Power-play %Philadelphia Flyers 13.6%Minnesota Wild 17.8%
Penalty kill %Philadelphia Flyers 85.7%Minnesota Wild 74.2%
Faceoff %Philadelphia Flyers 50.0%Minnesota Wild 47.2%
Penalty minutesPhiladelphia Flyers 9.3Minnesota Wild 7.1
HitsPhiladelphia Flyers 23.2Minnesota Wild 24.0
Blocked shotsPhiladelphia Flyers 16.3Minnesota Wild 14.5
Per game · PHI at home, MIN away
Goal differential per gamePhiladelphia Flyers −0.8Minnesota Wild +0.8
Goals forPhiladelphia Flyers 2.6Minnesota Wild 3.1
Goals againstPhiladelphia Flyers 3.4Minnesota Wild 2.3
Shots on goalPhiladelphia Flyers 23.5Minnesota Wild 30.2
Shots againstPhiladelphia Flyers 29.2Minnesota Wild 26.7
Shooting %Philadelphia Flyers 11.1%Minnesota Wild 10.3%
Save %Philadelphia Flyers 88.4%Minnesota Wild 91.4%
Power-play %Philadelphia Flyers 10.0%Minnesota Wild 19.6%
Penalty kill %Philadelphia Flyers 80.5%Minnesota Wild 82.1%
Faceoff %Philadelphia Flyers 50.5%Minnesota Wild 49.9%
Penalty minutesPhiladelphia Flyers 8.8Minnesota Wild 9.8
HitsPhiladelphia Flyers 26.6Minnesota Wild 24.4
Blocked shotsPhiladelphia Flyers 13.4Minnesota Wild 14.1
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Flyers 3–1
Wild
Goals a gameGoals
6.3
PHI 3.3 · MIN 3.0
Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5
1 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 4
1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Mar 12, 2026: Minnesota Wild 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 18, 2025: Philadelphia Flyers 2, Minnesota Wild 1, after overtime.
- Dec 14, 2024: Minnesota Wild 4, Philadelphia Flyers 1.
- Oct 26, 2024: Philadelphia Flyers 7, Minnesota Wild 5.
Last five games
Flyers
2-2-1 - Win, 6–3 against Utah Mammoth, Nov 1. Odds: Flyers 3.13, Mammoth 1.99.
- Loss, 2–5 at Washington Capitals, Oct 28. Odds: Capitals 1.62, Flyers 4.25.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Columbus Blue Jackets, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Flyers 2.60, Blue Jackets 2.25.
- Loss, 4–5 against Anaheim Ducks, Oct 24. Odds: Flyers 2.33, Ducks 2.59.
- Win, 3–1 at Buffalo Sabres, Oct 21. Odds: Sabres 1.75, Flyers 3.65.
Wild
4-0-1 - Win, 5–1 at Washington Capitals, Nov 1. Odds: Capitals 2.45, Wild 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against New York Islanders, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Wild 1.89, Islanders 3.40.
- Win, 3–1 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 27. Odds: Mammoth 2.25, Wild 2.55.
- Win, 4–2 at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 25. Odds: Canucks 3.65, Wild 1.72.
- Win, 5–1 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 24. Odds: Kraken 3.45, Wild 1.83.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 04:06 Goal Minnesota Wild: Boldy M. assists: Hughes Q., Brodin J. 0-1
- 04:37 Goal Minnesota Wild: McCarron M. assists: Coleman B., Brink B. 0-2
- 05:18 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Barkey D. Hooking
- 14:42 2 min Minnesota Wild: Boldy M. Hooking
2nd period1-1
- 00:42 Goal Minnesota Wild: Eriksson Ek J. assists: Boldy M. 0-3
- 00:42 Penalty Philadelphia Flyers: Zegras T. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 07:24 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Seeler N. Cross checking
- 09:42 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Seeler N. Holding
- 14:24 Goal Philadelphia Flyers: Foerster T. assists: Drysdale J., Michkov M. 1-3
3rd period1-1
- 00:50 2 min Minnesota Wild: Brodin J. Holding
- 01:48 Goal PPG Philadelphia Flyers: Barkey D. assists: Martone P., Zegras T. 2-3
- 03:27 2 min Minnesota Wild: Eriksson Ek J. Cross checking
- 18:36 Goal ENG Minnesota Wild: Yurov D. assists: Kaprizov K., Maatta O. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Vladar D. for Philadelphia Flyers (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Wallstedt J. for Minnesota Wild (7-1-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Philadelphia Flyers.
- +1.1 goals at home — Philadelphia Flyers averaged 2.7 at home and 1.6 away this season.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Minnesota Wild.
- 6.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PHI) | 3.50 | 3.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MIN) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PHI | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Philadelphia Flyers host Minnesota Wild in the NHL on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.