Pitea vs Arlanda prediction
Chance to win · 87% and 5% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Full game
- 1X2WonPitea1.21Confidence 86%
- Over/UnderWonO5.51.40Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPitea -1.51.36Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPitea1.11Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonPitea or draw1.06Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonPitea1.07Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPitea1.64Confidence 63%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.56Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Pitea 5–2
Arlanda Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min5–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–015%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (5%), 6-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonPitea
Arlanda
Head-to-head
Pitea 1–1
Arlanda - Feb 1, 2026: Pitea 5, Arlanda 4.
- Oct 26, 2025: Arlanda 2, Pitea 1.
Last five games
Pitea
4-1-0 - Win, 4–2 at Asploven, Oct 24. Odds: Asploven 4.35, Pitea 1.53.
- Loss, 2–3 against Asploven, Oct 23. Odds: Pitea 1.40, Asploven 5.30.
- Win, 5–4 at Borlange, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Borlange 2.23, Pitea 2.39.
- Win, 4–2 against Norrtalje, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–3 against Stromsbro IF, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Pitea 1.74, Stromsbro 3.00.
Arlanda
0-5-0 - Loss, 2–4 at Ornskoldsvik, Nov 7. Odds: Ornskoldsvik 1.20, Arlanda 10.00.
- Loss, 1–2 against Surahammar, Oct 28. Odds: Arlanda 4.73, Surahammar 1.49.
- Loss, 1–5 against Lindloven, Oct 24. Odds: Arlanda 8.25, Lindloven 1.26.
- Loss, 3–6 against Jarfalla, Oct 21. Odds: Arlanda 2.65, Jarfalla 2.05.
- Loss, 1–15 at Hudiksvall, Oct 17. Odds: Hudiksvall 1.08, Arlanda 25.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 01:27 Goal PPG Pitea: Bolin N. assists: Lidman J., Nilsson O. 1-0
- 04:38 Goal Pitea: Hedlund E. assists: Bergstrom L., Soderberg Nelson J. 2-0
- 18:03 Goal Pitea: Holmstrom I. assists: Cederholm L., Bjork C. 3-0
2nd period1-0
- 03:03 Goal Pitea: Bergstrom L. assists: Hedlund E., Soderberg Nelson J. 4-0
3rd period1-1
- 03:57 Goal Arlanda: Lif D. assists: Lofstrom C. 4-1
- 04:54 Goal Pitea: Bramberg O. assists: Nilsson O. 5-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Arlanda, who played yesterday.
- 9-game losing streak for Arlanda coming into this game.
- 1-4-0 away for Arlanda this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Pitea.
- 5th vs 19th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PIT) | 1.22 | 1.23 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.80 | 5.75 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ARL) | 8.50 | 7.25 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap PIT | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 | Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 |  Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 | Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pitea host Arlanda in the HockeyEttan Norra on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.