Pitea vs Asploven prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2LostPiteaodds down 1.44Confidence 68%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostPitea -1.5odds down 1.71Confidence 60%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPiteaodds up 1.23Confidence 77%
- Double chanceLostPitea or drawodds down 1.17Confidence 82%
- Draw no betLostPiteaodds down 1.22Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPiteaodds up 1.93Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.81Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Pitea 4–1
Asploven Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–011%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonPitea
Asploven
Head-to-head
Pitea 1–0
Asploven - Oct 24, 2026: Asploven 2, Pitea 4.
Last five games
Pitea
4-1-0 - Win, 5–4 at Borlange, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Borlange 2.23, Pitea 2.39.
- Win, 4–2 against Norrtalje, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–3 against Stromsbro IF, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Pitea 1.74, Stromsbro 3.00.
- Loss, 3–6 at Jarfalla, Oct 4.
- Win, 6–4 at Enkoping, Oct 3.
Asploven
2-3-0 - Win, 5–1 at Jarfalla, Oct 18. Odds: Jarfalla 1.83, Asploven 2.95.
- Loss, 0–1 at Enkoping, Oct 17. Odds: Enkoping 2.40, Asploven 2.26.
- Loss, 1–4 against Borlange, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 at Sollentuna, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–9 at Vallentuna, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-3
- 02:06 Goal Pitea: Holmstrom I. assists: Bjork C., Lindgren O. 1-0
- 04:32 Goal SHG Asploven: Kemppainen P. assists: Saikkonen T. 1-1
- 10:34 Goal PPG Asploven: Kantola E. assists: Kemppainen P., Kekarainen J. 1-2
- 10:57 Goal Pitea: Lindmark L. assists: Bolin N., Nilsson O. 2-2
- 13:07 Goal Asploven: Juntto W. assists: Bertgren J., Ylivainio J. 2-3
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Pitea coming into this game.
- 5th vs 13th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PIT) | 1.44 | 1.40 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.80 | 4.90 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (ASP) | 5.20 | 5.30 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PIT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 | Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 |  Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 | Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pitea host Asploven in the HockeyEttan Norra on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.