Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins 2–, Boston Bruins 6
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 odds down 2.251X2 odds up 2.55
PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA) · USAPPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
PIT
1
1
0
BOS
3
2
1
46%Pittsburgh win · 35% in regulationPIT
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
54%Boston win · 43% in regulationBOS
Chance to win · 35% and 43% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Bruins +1.5
odds down 1.36
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonBruinsodds up 2.36Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.36Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonBruins +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBruinsodds up 1.86Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonBruins or drawodds up 1.50Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonBruinsodds up 1.86Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBruinsodds up 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.68Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Penguins 2–5
Bruins
Total goalsTotal
7
Actual 8
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Boston to winTo win
54%
BOS won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min2–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–37%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-5 (4%), 1-4 (4%), 2-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Pittsburgh Penguins
Boston Bruins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Boston Bruins
Season recordPittsburgh Penguins 5-8-2Boston Bruins 11-4-1
Home / road splitPittsburgh Penguins 4-2-1Boston Bruins 4-3-1
StreakPittsburgh Penguins L3Boston Bruins W2
RestPittsburgh Penguins 1 dayBoston Bruins 2 days
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 3.3Boston Bruins 3.6
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 3.5Boston Bruins 2.4
In the standingsPittsburgh Penguins 16thBoston Bruins 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gamePittsburgh Penguins −0.8Boston Bruins +1.2
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 2.8Boston Bruins 3.7
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 3.6Boston Bruins 2.5
Shots on goalPittsburgh Penguins 26.9Boston Bruins 26.8
Shots againstPittsburgh Penguins 25.6Boston Bruins 28.1
Shooting %Pittsburgh Penguins 10.4%Boston Bruins 13.8%
Save %Pittsburgh Penguins 86.7%Boston Bruins 91.1%
Power-play %Pittsburgh Penguins 11.8%Boston Bruins 15.2%
Penalty kill %Pittsburgh Penguins 79.3%Boston Bruins 81.3%
Faceoff %Pittsburgh Penguins 46.9%Boston Bruins 57.3%
Penalty minutesPittsburgh Penguins 6.6Boston Bruins 11.7
HitsPittsburgh Penguins 11.4Boston Bruins 18.3
Blocked shotsPittsburgh Penguins 16.0Boston Bruins 12.5
Per game · PIT at home, BOS away
Goal differential per gamePittsburgh Penguins 0.0Boston Bruins +0.4
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 2.6Boston Bruins 2.9
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 2.6Boston Bruins 2.5
Shots on goalPittsburgh Penguins 26.6Boston Bruins 25.6
Shots againstPittsburgh Penguins 25.5Boston Bruins 28.7
Shooting %Pittsburgh Penguins 9.8%Boston Bruins 11.3%
Save %Pittsburgh Penguins 90.2%Boston Bruins 91.6%
Power-play %Pittsburgh Penguins 5.0%Boston Bruins 10.2%
Penalty kill %Pittsburgh Penguins 94.4%Boston Bruins 82.7%
Faceoff %Pittsburgh Penguins 49.7%Boston Bruins 55.6%
Penalty minutesPittsburgh Penguins 9.6Boston Bruins 13.3
HitsPittsburgh Penguins 17.7Boston Bruins 24.1
Blocked shotsPittsburgh Penguins 16.6Boston Bruins 13.8
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Penguins 1–4
Bruins
Goals a gameGoals
4.6
PIT 1.8 · BOS 2.8
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
1 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Mar 8, 2026: Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Boston Bruins 4, after overtime.
- Mar 3, 2026: Boston Bruins 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1.
- Jan 11, 2026: Boston Bruins 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 0.
- Apr 13, 2025: Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Boston Bruins 4.
- Mar 1, 2025: Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Boston Bruins 3.
Last five games
Penguins
2-2-1 - Loss, 2–3 against Vegas Golden Knights, Nov 3. Odds: Penguins 2.20, Golden Knights 2.55.
- Loss, 4–5 at Montreal Canadiens, Oct 31. Odds: Canadiens 2.20, Penguins 2.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Utah Mammoth, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Penguins 2.85, Mammoth 2.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Nashville Predators, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Penguins 2.15, Predators 2.65.
- Win, 4–0 against Florida Panthers, Oct 22. Odds: Penguins 2.45, Panthers 2.30.
Bruins
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 against Vegas Golden Knights, after a shootout, Nov 2. Odds: Bruins 2.45, Golden Knights 2.35.
- Win, 5–4 against Chicago Blackhawks, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Bruins 1.60, Blackhawks 4.10.
- Loss, 1–4 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 29. Odds: Blues 2.40, Bruins 2.49.
- Loss, 1–2 at Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 27. Odds: Hurricanes 1.72, Bruins 3.65.
- Win, 6–4 against San Jose Sharks, Oct 24. Odds: Bruins 1.83, Sharks 3.35.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 05:28 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Letang K. Tripping
- 09:04 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Brazeau J. assists: Lapierre H., Korczak K. 1-0
- 12:07 Goal Boston Bruins: Zacha P. assists: Pastrnak D., Peterka J. 1-1
- 15:04 Goal Boston Bruins: Kastelic M. assists: Brunet F., Jeannot T. 1-2
- 18:57 Goal Boston Bruins: Lindholm E. 1-3
2nd period1-2
- 04:17 2 min Boston Bruins: Zacha P. Tripping
- 07:57 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Robertson N. assists: Korczak K., Lizotte B. 2-3
- 14:24 Goal Boston Bruins: Zacha P. assists: Peterka J., Pastrnak D. 2-4
- 16:57 Goal Boston Bruins: Geekie M. assists: Lindholm H. 2-5
3rd period0-1
- 08:39 Goal Boston Bruins: Minten F. assists: Geekie M. 2-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Pittsburgh Penguins coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 2.0 per game — Pittsburgh Penguins −0.8, Boston Bruins +1.2 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Boston Bruins.
- −1.5 goals away — Boston Bruins averaged 4.4 at home and 2.9 away this season.
- Save % gap: Pittsburgh Penguins 86.7%, Boston Bruins 91.1% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PIT) | 2.40 | 2.25 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BOS) | 2.40 | 2.55 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap PIT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 | Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 4 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 7 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 9 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 11 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 12 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 15 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pittsburgh Penguins host Boston Bruins in the NHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.