Pittsburgh Penguins vs Florida Panthers prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins 4–, Florida Panthers 0
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 odds down 2.451X2 odds up 2.30
PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA) · USAPPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
PIT
1
1
2
FLA
0
0
0
57%Pittsburgh win · 46% in regulationPIT
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
43%Florida win · 32% in regulationFLA
Chance to win · 46% and 32% in regulation
Silovs A.StartedSV 87.5% · GAA 3.20 · 5-4-1
Black C.StartedSV 89.7% · GAA 3.00 · 1-0-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Penguins or draw
odds up 1.46
Confidence70%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonPenguinsodds up 2.35Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.44Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostPanthers +1.5odds down 1.37Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPenguinsodds up 1.83Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonPenguins or drawodds up 1.46Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonPenguinsodds up 1.85Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPenguinsodds up 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.60Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Penguins 3–2
Panthers
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 4
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Pittsburgh to winTo win
57%
PIT won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–03%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Pittsburgh Penguins
Florida Panthers
Pittsburgh Penguins
Florida Panthers
Season recordPittsburgh Penguins 3-6-1Florida Panthers 5-3-2
Home / road splitPittsburgh Penguins 2-1-0Florida Panthers 3-2-2
StreakPittsburgh Penguins L4Florida Panthers L1
RestPittsburgh Penguins 2 daysFlorida Panthers Back-to-back
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 3.3Florida Panthers 3.1
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 3.8Florida Panthers 3.0
In the standingsPittsburgh Penguins 16thFlorida Panthers 7th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gamePittsburgh Penguins −0.5Florida Panthers +0.1
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 3.2Florida Panthers 3.1
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 3.7Florida Panthers 3.0
Shots on goalPittsburgh Penguins 27.3Florida Panthers 28.3
Shots againstPittsburgh Penguins 27.5Florida Panthers 24.4
Shooting %Pittsburgh Penguins 11.7%Florida Panthers 11.0%
Save %Pittsburgh Penguins 87.3%Florida Panthers 88.1%
Power-play %Pittsburgh Penguins 18.9%Florida Panthers 15.6%
Penalty kill %Pittsburgh Penguins 84.4%Florida Panthers 86.7%
Faceoff %Pittsburgh Penguins 44.6%Florida Panthers 46.1%
Penalty minutesPittsburgh Penguins 6.7Florida Panthers 14.7
HitsPittsburgh Penguins 12.3Florida Panthers 33.0
Blocked shotsPittsburgh Penguins 13.1Florida Panthers 17.7
Per game · PIT at home, FLA away
Goal differential per gamePittsburgh Penguins +0.6Florida Panthers −0.2
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 3.6Florida Panthers 2.9
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 3.0Florida Panthers 3.1
Shots on goalPittsburgh Penguins 24.5Florida Panthers 25.7
Shots againstPittsburgh Penguins 25.6Florida Panthers 25.2
Shooting %Pittsburgh Penguins 14.7%Florida Panthers 11.3%
Save %Pittsburgh Penguins 89.1%Florida Panthers 88.1%
Power-play %Pittsburgh Penguins 12.5%Florida Panthers 15.1%
Penalty kill %Pittsburgh Penguins 92.9%Florida Panthers 80.4%
Faceoff %Pittsburgh Penguins 49.0%Florida Panthers 46.5%
Penalty minutesPittsburgh Penguins 11.5Florida Panthers 11.8
HitsPittsburgh Penguins 19.5Florida Panthers 33.2
Blocked shotsPittsburgh Penguins 15.0Florida Panthers 16.7
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Penguins 3–2
Panthers
Goals a gameGoals
8.0
PIT 4.8 · FLA 3.2
Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5
4 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 5
2 in a shootout
- Apr 5, 2026: Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Florida Panthers 2.
- Apr 4, 2026: Pittsburgh Penguins 9, Florida Panthers 4.
- Oct 23, 2025: Florida Panthers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5.
- Mar 23, 2025: Florida Panthers 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3, after a shootout.
- Jan 3, 2025: Florida Panthers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
Penguins
1-4-0 - Loss, 4–5 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 19. Odds: Mammoth 1.76, Penguins 3.50.
- Loss, 2–6 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Golden Knights 1.72, Penguins 3.55.
- Loss, 2–5 at Colorado Avalanche, Oct 16. Odds: Avalanche 1.75, Penguins 3.50.
- Loss, 3–5 at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 13. Odds: Blackhawks 3.10, Penguins 1.95.
- Win, 2–1 against Dallas Stars, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Penguins 2.60, Stars 2.30.
Panthers
3-2-0 - Loss, 1–5 at Ottawa Senators, Oct 21. Odds: Senators 2.35, Panthers 2.52.
- Win, 8–3 against Seattle Kraken, Oct 17. Odds: Panthers 1.87, Kraken 3.25.
- Win, 3–2 against Vancouver Canucks, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Panthers 1.53, Canucks 4.75.
- Win, 7–3 at Columbus Blue Jackets, Oct 13. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.26, Panthers 2.79.
- Loss, 3–5 at Buffalo Sabres, Oct 12. Odds: Sabres 2.40, Panthers 2.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:22 2 min Florida Panthers: Balinskis U. Hooking
- 09:03 2 min Florida Panthers: Hathaway G. Delay of game
- 15:19 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Robertson N. assists: Dewar C., Letang K. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 01:46 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Malkin E. Tripping
- 09:59 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Lapierre H. assists: Koivunen V., Malkin E. 2-0
- 14:05 2 min Florida Panthers: Hathaway G. Boarding
- 16:17 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Silovs A. High sticking
3rd period2-0
- 01:40 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Malkin E. assists: Lapierre H., Stastney S. 3-0
- 14:01 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Koivunen V. Holding
- 17:34 Goal ENG Pittsburgh Penguins: Robertson N. assists: Dewar C., Lizotte B. 4-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Florida Panthers, who played yesterday.
- 4-game losing streak for Pittsburgh Penguins coming into this game.
- In goal: Silovs A. for Pittsburgh Penguins (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Black C. for Florida Panthers.
- The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Pittsburgh Penguins.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PIT) | 2.50 | 2.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FLA) | 2.25 | 2.30 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap PIT | −1.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 4 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 7 | Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 9 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 11 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 12 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 15 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pittsburgh Penguins host Florida Panthers in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.