Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostPenguins2.75Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.45Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPenguins +2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPenguins2.12Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonPenguins or draw1.63Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushPenguinsodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPenguinsodds down 3.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.62Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-1 (3%), 4-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 19, 2026: Utah Mammoth 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.
- Mar 14, 2026: Utah Mammoth 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.
- Dec 14, 2025: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Utah Mammoth 5, after overtime.
- Jan 29, 2025: Utah Mammoth 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3, after overtime.
- Nov 23, 2024: Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Utah Mammoth 6.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against Nashville Predators, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Penguins 2.15, Predators 2.65.
- Win, 4–0 against Florida Panthers, Oct 22. Odds: Penguins 2.45, Panthers 2.30.
- Loss, 4–5 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 19. Odds: Mammoth 1.76, Penguins 3.50.
- Loss, 2–6 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Golden Knights 1.72, Penguins 3.55.
- Loss, 2–5 at Colorado Avalanche, Oct 16. Odds: Avalanche 1.75, Penguins 3.50.
- Loss, 1–3 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 27. Odds: Mammoth 2.25, Wild 2.55.
- Win, 5–4 against Tampa Bay Lightning, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Mammoth 2.01, Lightning 2.90.
- Loss, 3–5 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 22. Odds: Kraken 3.50, Mammoth 1.76.
- Win, 5–4 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 19. Odds: Mammoth 1.76, Penguins 3.50.
- Loss, 2–6 against Edmonton Oilers, Oct 17. Odds: Mammoth 2.05, Oilers 2.90.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 00:49 2 min Utah Mammoth: Keller C. Hooking
- 04:40 Goal Utah Mammoth: Cooley L. 0-1
- 14:11 Goal Utah Mammoth: Cooley L. assists: Crouse L., Peeke A. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 08:38 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Karlsson E. assists: Kindel B., Malkin E. 1-2
3rd period2-1
- 09:58 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Karlsson E. Tripping
- 10:59 Goal SHG Pittsburgh Penguins: Rakell R. assists: Korczak K. 2-2
- 19:35 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Kindel B. assists: Malkin E., Chinakhov Y. 3-2
- 19:59 Goal Utah Mammoth: Cooley L. assists: Trocheck V., Keller C. 3-3
Overtime0-1
- 03:27 Goal Utah Mammoth: Sergachyov M. assists: Hayton B. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Pittsburgh Penguins, 1 for Utah Mammoth.
- In goal: Silovs A. for Pittsburgh Penguins (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Cossa S. for Utah Mammoth (3-2-1 in the last 6 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Pittsburgh Penguins this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Utah Mammoth.
- Save % gap: Pittsburgh Penguins 88.7%, Utah Mammoth 85.4% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PIT) | 2.85 | 2.85 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (UTA) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap PIT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 | |
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 | |
| 6 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 | |
| 7 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 | |
| 8 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 | |
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 | |
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 | |
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 | |
| 8 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pittsburgh Penguins host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.