Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins 2–, Vegas Golden Knights 3
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 odds up 2.201X2 2.55
PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA) · USAPPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
PIT
0
0
2
VGK
1
0
2
54%Pittsburgh win · 43% in regulationPIT
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
46%Vegas win · 35% in regulationVGK
Chance to win · 43% and 35% in regulation
Silovs A.StartedSV 89.4% · GAA 2.80 · 6-3-1
Hill A.StartedSV 88.6% · GAA 3.00 · 7-2-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Penguins +1.5
odds down 1.36
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostPenguinsodds down 2.46Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.43Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPenguins +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPenguinsodds down 1.91Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostPenguins or drawodds down 1.51Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostPenguinsodds down 1.95Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPenguinsodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Penguins 5–2
Golden Knights
Total goalsTotal
7
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Pittsburgh to winTo win
54%
VGK won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-1 (4%), 4-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights
Season recordPittsburgh Penguins 5-7-2Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-2
Home / road splitPittsburgh Penguins 4-1-1Vegas Golden Knights 3-2-2
StreakPittsburgh Penguins L2Vegas Golden Knights L2
RestPittsburgh Penguins 2 daysVegas Golden Knights Back-to-back
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 3.4Vegas Golden Knights 3.4
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 3.5Vegas Golden Knights 2.9
In the standingsPittsburgh Penguins 8thVegas Golden Knights 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gamePittsburgh Penguins −0.7Vegas Golden Knights 0.0
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 2.8Vegas Golden Knights 3.2
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 3.5Vegas Golden Knights 3.2
Shots on goalPittsburgh Penguins 26.6Vegas Golden Knights 26.2
Shots againstPittsburgh Penguins 28.0Vegas Golden Knights 26.3
Shooting %Pittsburgh Penguins 10.5%Vegas Golden Knights 12.2%
Save %Pittsburgh Penguins 88.2%Vegas Golden Knights 88.6%
Power-play %Pittsburgh Penguins 13.3%Vegas Golden Knights 19.4%
Penalty kill %Pittsburgh Penguins 86.2%Vegas Golden Knights 71.0%
Faceoff %Pittsburgh Penguins 45.4%Vegas Golden Knights 49.4%
Penalty minutesPittsburgh Penguins 6.6Vegas Golden Knights 8.7
HitsPittsburgh Penguins 11.4Vegas Golden Knights 23.4
Blocked shotsPittsburgh Penguins 15.7Vegas Golden Knights 11.8
Per game · PIT at home, VGK away
Goal differential per gamePittsburgh Penguins −0.2Vegas Golden Knights −0.1
Goals forPittsburgh Penguins 2.7Vegas Golden Knights 3.1
Goals againstPittsburgh Penguins 2.9Vegas Golden Knights 3.2
Shots on goalPittsburgh Penguins 25.2Vegas Golden Knights 25.7
Shots againstPittsburgh Penguins 26.3Vegas Golden Knights 25.8
Shooting %Pittsburgh Penguins 10.7%Vegas Golden Knights 12.1%
Save %Pittsburgh Penguins 89.7%Vegas Golden Knights 88.0%
Power-play %Pittsburgh Penguins 5.9%Vegas Golden Knights 13.9%
Penalty kill %Pittsburgh Penguins 97.1%Vegas Golden Knights 68.6%
Faceoff %Pittsburgh Penguins 49.0%Vegas Golden Knights 47.9%
Penalty minutesPittsburgh Penguins 9.2Vegas Golden Knights 9.2
HitsPittsburgh Penguins 18.9Vegas Golden Knights 24.3
Blocked shotsPittsburgh Penguins 16.3Vegas Golden Knights 13.7
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Penguins 2–3
Golden Knights
Goals a gameGoals
6.0
PIT 2.4 · VGK 3.6
Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5
2 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Oct 17, 2026: Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2.
- Mar 12, 2026: Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2.
- Mar 1, 2026: Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Vegas Golden Knights 0.
- Mar 11, 2025: Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2, after overtime.
- Mar 7, 2025: Vegas Golden Knights 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 0.
Last five games
Penguins
2-2-1 - Loss, 4–5 at Montreal Canadiens, Oct 31. Odds: Canadiens 2.20, Penguins 2.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Utah Mammoth, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Penguins 2.85, Mammoth 2.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Nashville Predators, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Penguins 2.15, Predators 2.65.
- Win, 4–0 against Florida Panthers, Oct 22. Odds: Penguins 2.45, Panthers 2.30.
- Loss, 4–5 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 19. Odds: Mammoth 1.76, Penguins 3.50.
Golden Knights
1-2-2 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Boston Bruins, after a shootout, Nov 2. Odds: Bruins 2.45, Golden Knights 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 30. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Devils 2.40.
- Win, 4–1 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 27. Odds: Golden Knights 1.91, Senators 3.25.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Columbus Blue Jackets, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.70, Golden Knights 2.15.
- Loss, 2–6 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 22. Odds: Blues 2.65, Golden Knights 2.20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 05:07 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Lauzon J. Holding
- 10:23 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Dowd N. Holding
- 15:27 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Lapierre H. Interference
- 16:36 Goal PPG Vegas Golden Knights: Hertl T. assists: Marner M., Eichel J. 0-1
- 19:58 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Crosby S. Tripping
2nd period0-0
- 08:03 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Connelly T. Delay of game
- 12:27 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Karlsson E. Holding
3rd period2-2
- 01:09 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Novak T. assists: Korczak K., Stastney S. 1-1
- 04:21 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Lauzon J. Interference
- 09:58 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Rakell R. assists: Novak T., Korczak K. 2-1
- 11:19 Goal Vegas Golden Knights: Connelly T. assists: Lauzon J. 2-2
- 15:57 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: Lauzon J. Holding the stick
- 16:35 2 min Vegas Golden Knights: McNabb B. High sticking
- 18:43 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Novak T. Tripping
- 19:25 Goal PPG Vegas Golden Knights: Hertl T. assists: Stone M., Eichel J. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Vegas Golden Knights, who played yesterday.
- In goal: Silovs A. for Pittsburgh Penguins (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Hill A. for Vegas Golden Knights (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Vegas Golden Knights.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Vegas Golden Knights.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PIT) | 2.15 | 2.20 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.25 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (VGK) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap PIT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Pittsburgh Penguins host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.