Plzen vs Sparta Prague Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Lost

Plzen or draw 1.44

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostPlzenodds down 2.33Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.30Confidence 69%
HandicapWonSparta Prague +1.5odds up 1.28Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostPlzenodds down 1.81Confidence 59%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostPlzen or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 69%
Draw no betLostPlzenodds down 1.78Confidence 61%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.14Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.35Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.63Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Plzen 32

Sparta Prague

Final 0–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 2

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

PLZ to winTo win 57% SPA won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min0–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–123%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-3-14-4-2

Home / road split3-0-02-2-1

StreakW4W1

Rest1 day4 days

Goals for2.53.1

Goals against2.22.8

In the standings7th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.8+0.4

Goals for3.13.1

Goals against2.32.7

Shots on goal27.835.4

Shots against22.925.5

Shooting %11.2%8.8%

Save %90.4%89.8%

Power-play %14.3%19.0%

Penalty kill %83.3%90.7%

Faceoff %48.3%49.9%

Penalty minutes8.711.3

Blocked shots15.719.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Plzen 23

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.4 PLZ 1.8 · SPA 2.6

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Mar 30, 2026: Plzen 0, Sparta Prague 1.
Mar 28, 2026: Sparta Prague 4, Plzen 2.
Mar 26, 2026: Plzen 1, Sparta Prague 4.
Mar 23, 2026: Sparta Prague 1, Plzen 2.
Mar 22, 2026: Sparta Prague 3, Plzen 4, after a shootout.

Last five games

Plzen 4-1-0

Win, 6–3 at SaiPa, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
Win, 2–1 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.20, Plzen 2.75.
Win, 4–1 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 8.
Win, 4–2 against Skellefteå, Oct 6.
Loss, 1–4 at Karlovy Vary, Oct 4.

Sparta Prague 2-2-1

Win, 3–0 against Vitkovice, Oct 11. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.55, Vitkovice 4.65.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 8.
Loss, 4–6 at Pardubice, Oct 4.
Win, 4–2 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 1.
Loss, 3–4 at Mountfield HK, Sep 29.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

11:53 Goal Sparta Prague: Kousal P. assists: Chlapik F., Spacek M. 0-1
12:41 2 min Plzen: Sedlacek I. Tripping
15:00 2 min Plzen: Robertson C. Cross checking
16:13 2 min Sparta Prague: Spacek M. Unsportsmanlike conduct

2nd period0-0

00:22 2 min Sparta Prague: Spacek M. Holding
04:05 2 min Plzen: Merezhko I. Holding
07:43 2 min Sparta Prague: Vesalainen K. Tripping
12:21 2 min Sparta Prague: Seppala N. Roughing
17:57 5 min Plzen: Filip M. Fighting
17:57 5 min Sparta Prague: Kousal P. Fighting
18:38 2 min Sparta Prague: Masin D. Roughing

3rd period0-1

08:54 2 min Sparta Prague: Blumel M. Hooking
14:51 2 min Sparta Prague: — Too many men on the ice
18:08 Goal ENG Sparta Prague: Sekac J. 0-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for Plzen coming into this game.
Rest advantage: 4 days off for Sparta Prague, 1 for Plzen.
In goal: Malik N. for Plzen (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Korenar J. for Sparta Prague (5-2-3 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sparta Prague.
4.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (PLZ)	2.40	2.40	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (SPA)	2.54	2.54	No change
Over/Under line	5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap PLZ	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Extraliga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Trinec	16	13	2	1	39	1.219	64	38	+26
2	Pardubice	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	64	43	+21
3	Kladno	17	10	4	3	30	.882	53	49	+4
4	Karlovy Vary	17	10	7	0	28	.824	41	33	+8
5	Ceske Budejovice	17	8	7	2	26	.765	45	47	−2
6	Sparta Prague	17	8	7	2	25	.735	45	40	+5
7	Plzen	17	10	6	1	25	.735	44	42	+2
8	Liberec	16	7	5	4	24	.750	44	43	+1
9	Mountfield HK	16	8	6	2	24	.750	43	42	+1
10	Kometa Brno	16	8	5	3	24	.750	43	43	0
11	Litvinov	17	7	9	1	21	.618	36	45	−9
12	Mlada Boleslav	17	6	10	1	17	.500	35	57	−22
13	Vitkovice	15	5	8	2	16	.533	37	49	−12
14	Olomouc	17	4	11	2	13	.382	32	55	−23

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Plzen vs Sparta Prague prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details