Plzen vs Vitkovice prediction
Chance to win · 60% and 20% in regulation
Malik N.StartedSV 92.2% · GAA 1.90 · 6-3-1
Hrachovina D.StartedSV 90% · GAA 3.00 · 2-7-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2LostPlzenodds up 1.60Confidence 62%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.33Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonVitkovice +1.5odds up 1.64Confidence 58%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPlzenodds up 1.36Confidence 72%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonPlzen or drawodds up 1.19Confidence 93%
- Draw no betPushPlzenodds up 1.28Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonPlzenodds up 2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds up 1.15Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Plzen 3–2
Vitkovice Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period3–121%chance
- Highest scoring periodWonTieMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPlzen
Vitkovice
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Plzen 5–0
Vitkovice - Mar 6, 2026: Plzen 5, Vitkovice 2.
- Jan 6, 2026: Vitkovice 4, Plzen 6.
- Dec 17, 2025: Vitkovice 1, Plzen 3.
- Nov 26, 2025: Plzen 7, Vitkovice 0.
- Jan 26, 2025: Plzen 4, Vitkovice 1.
Last five games
Plzen
4-1-0 - Loss, 0–2 against Sparta Prague, Oct 16. Odds: Plzen 2.40, Sparta Prague 2.54.
- Win, 6–3 at SaiPa, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
- Win, 2–1 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.20, Plzen 2.75.
- Win, 4–1 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 8.
- Win, 4–2 against Skellefteå, Oct 6.
Vitkovice
0-4-1 - Loss, 1–3 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 16. Odds: Vitkovice 2.25, C. Budejovice 2.69.
- Loss, 0–3 at Sparta Prague, Oct 11. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.55, Vitkovice 4.65.
- Loss, 2–3 against Pardubice, Oct 9. Odds: Vitkovice 3.90, Pardubice 1.66.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Mountfield HK, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–3 against Karlovy Vary, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 03:58 Goal Plzen: Rubins K. assists: Schleiss J., Sedlacek I. 1-0
- 04:10 Goal Vitkovice: Kalus M. assists: Lacka J. 1-1
- 06:22 2 min Vitkovice: Cienciala D. Hooking
- 08:21 Goal PPG Plzen: Petman V. assists: Lev J., Schleiss J. 2-1
- 14:53 2 min Vitkovice: Nellis A. Holding
- 16:17 Goal PPG Plzen: Mechura A. assists: Filip M. 3-1
- 20:00 2 min Plzen: Lev J. Tripping
2nd period2-2
- 00:16 Goal PPG Vitkovice: Yetman C. assists: Zboril J., Kalus M. 3-2
- 01:50 2 min Vitkovice: Nellis A. Tripping
- 04:45 Goal Plzen: Lev J. assists: Rubins K., Merezhko I. 4-2
- 05:56 Goal Vitkovice: Hladonik J. 4-3
- 07:23 2 min Vitkovice: Yetman C. Tripping
- 08:14 Goal PPG Plzen: Petman V. assists: Lalancette C. 5-3
3rd period0-2
- 02:05 2 min Plzen: Petman V. Hooking
- 02:46 Goal PPG Vitkovice: Zboril J. assists: Yetman C., Nellis A. 5-4
- 03:17 2 min Vitkovice: Holland R. Tripping
- 14:15 Goal Vitkovice: Nellis A. assists: Knazko S. 5-5
Overtime0-0
- 03:27 2 min Vitkovice: Cienciala D. Interference
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Lev J.
✗missed
Hrivik M.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Robertson C.
✗missed
Abdul J.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Petman V.
✗missed
Nellis A.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Mechura A.
✗missed
Yetman C.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Teply M.
✗missed
Zboril J.
✗missed
-
Round 6
Filip M.
✓scored
Abdul J.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Vitkovice coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Plzen.
- In goal: Malik N. for Plzen (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Hrachovina D. for Vitkovice (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.0 per game — Plzen +0.7, Vitkovice −1.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Plzen.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PLZ) | 1.60 | 1.60 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.05 | 4.05 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VIT) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap PLZ | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trinec |
16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 |
| 2 |  Pardubice |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 |
| 3 |  Kladno |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 |
| 4 |  Karlovy Vary |
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 |
| 5 |  Ceske Budejovice |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 |
| 6 |  Sparta Prague |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 |
| 7 | Plzen |
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 |
| 8 |  Liberec |
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 9 |  Mountfield HK |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 |
| 10 |  Kometa Brno |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 |  Litvinov |
17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 |
| 12 |  Mlada Boleslav |
17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 |
| 13 | Vitkovice |
15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 |
| 14 |  Olomouc |
17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Plzen host Vitkovice in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.