Providence Friars vs Connecticut Huskies prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 18% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2LostProvidenceodds up 1.65Confidence 67%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostProvidence -1.52.18Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostProvidenceodds up 1.37Confidence 78%
- Double chanceLostProvidence or drawodds up 1.18Confidence 83%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostProvidence1.33Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostProvidence2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.81Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Providence 4–1
UConn Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–67%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 8 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonProvidence Friars
Connecticut Huskies
Head-to-head
Providence 3–2
UConn - Nov 7, 2026: Connecticut Huskies 1, Providence Friars 8.
- Mar 7, 2026: Providence Friars 3, Connecticut Huskies 1.
- Nov 8, 2025: Providence Friars 2, Connecticut Huskies 3, after a shootout.
- Nov 7, 2025: Connecticut Huskies 1, Providence Friars 4.
- Mar 14, 2025: Connecticut Huskies 3, Providence Friars 1.
Last five games
Providence
4-1-0 - Loss, 1–5 at Quinnipiac Bobcats, Oct 31. Odds: Quinnipiac 2.35, Providence 2.40.
- Win, 5–2 against Massachusetts Lowell, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 1.25, UMass Lowell 7.00.
- Win, 3–0 at Massachusetts Lowell, Oct 23. Odds: UMass Lowell 6.00, Providence 1.36.
- Win, 3–2 at Union Dutchmen, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Union 3.35, Providence 1.65.
- Win, 4–0 against Clarkson Golden Knights, Oct 10.
UConn
2-2-1 - Win, 6–5 at Merrimack Warriors, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Merrimack 2.02, UConn 2.75.
- Loss, 4–5 at Merrimack Warriors, Oct 30. Odds: Merrimack 2.10, UConn 2.65.
- Loss, 3–6 at Boston University Terriers, Oct 24. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.88, UConn 3.05.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Boston University Terriers, after overtime, Oct 23.
- Win, 5–4 against Boston University Terriers, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: UConn 2.65, Boston Univ. 2.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Providence Friars.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Providence Friars.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 6th vs 2nd in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PRO) | 1.70 | 1.60 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.40 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (CON) | 3.80 | 4.09 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PRO | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 | Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 |  Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 | Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 |  Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 |  Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Providence Friars host Connecticut Huskies in the NCAA on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.