Providence Friars vs Massachusetts Lowell prediction
Chance to win · 77% and 10% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonProvidenceodds up 1.23Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.44Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonProvidence -1.51.43Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonProvidence1.13Confidence 80%
- Double chanceWonProvidence or drawodds up 1.03Confidence 83%
- Draw no betWonProvidenceodds up 1.08Confidence 81%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.21Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonProvidenceodds up 1.74Confidence 55%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Providence 4–1
UMass Lowell Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–29%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period5–114%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 6 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (9%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonProvidence Friars
Massachusetts Lowell
Head-to-head
Providence 3–2
UMass Lowell - Oct 23, 2026: Massachusetts Lowell 0, Providence Friars 3.
- Nov 1, 2025: Massachusetts Lowell 5, Providence Friars 1.
- Oct 31, 2025: Providence Friars 5, Massachusetts Lowell 2.
- Feb 22, 2025: Providence Friars 4, Massachusetts Lowell 2.
- Jan 25, 2025: Providence Friars 0, Massachusetts Lowell 1.
Last five games
Providence
4-1-0 - Win, 3–0 at Massachusetts Lowell, Oct 23. Odds: UMass Lowell 6.00, Providence 1.36.
- Win, 3–2 at Union Dutchmen, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Union 3.35, Providence 1.65.
- Win, 4–0 against Clarkson Golden Knights, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–2 against St. Lawrence Saints, Oct 9.
- Loss, 2–5 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Mar 26.
UMass Lowell
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–3 against Providence Friars, Oct 23. Odds: UMass Lowell 6.00, Providence 1.36.
- Loss, 2–4 against Arizona State Sun Devils, Oct 17. Odds: UMass Lowell 2.55, Arizona State 1.98.
- Loss, 4–5 against Arizona State Sun Devils, Oct 16. Odds: UMass Lowell 2.45, Arizona State 2.05.
- Win, 4–2 against St. Lawrence Saints, Oct 10.
- Loss, 2–3 against Clarkson Golden Knights, Oct 9. Odds: UMass Lowell 2.27, Clarkson 2.55.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Providence Friars and Massachusetts Lowell played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Providence Friars coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Massachusetts Lowell coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Providence Friars.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PRO) | 1.22 | 1.25 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.25 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (MAS) | 7.00 | 7.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap PRO | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 |  Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 | Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 | Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 |  Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 |  Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Providence Friars host Massachusetts Lowell in the NCAA on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.