Punks Vilnius vs Kyiv Capitals prediction
Chance to win · 4% and 90% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Full game
- 1X2WonKyiv Capitalsodds up 1.04Confidence 86%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO6.51.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKyiv Capitals -1.5Confidence 77%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKyiv Capitalsodds up 1.01Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonKyiv Capitals or draw1.01Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonKyiv Capitals1.01Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKyiv CapitalsConfidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.58Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Punks Vilnius 1–6
Kyiv Capitals Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–6After 60 min0–115%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–316%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals33%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-6
- By period 0-2, 0-2, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-6 (5%), 2-5 (4%), 1-7 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonPunks Vilnius
Kyiv Capitals
Head-to-head
Punks Vilnius 0–5
Kyiv Capitals - Sep 26, 2026: Punks Vilnius 1, Kyiv Capitals 9.
- Sep 16, 2026: Kyiv Capitals 6, Punks Vilnius 1.
- Feb 21, 2026: Kyiv Capitals 10, Punks Vilnius 3.
- Jan 10, 2026: Kyiv Capitals 7, Punks Vilnius 3.
- Nov 26, 2025: Kyiv Capitals 8, Punks Vilnius 0.
Last five games
Punks Vilnius
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–6 at Zemgale, Oct 14. Odds: Zemgale 1.11, Punks Vilnius 16.10.
- Win, 3–2 at Energija Elektrenai, Oct 10. Odds: Energija 2.00, Punks Vilnius 2.43.
- Loss, 1–9 against Mogo, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–9 against Kyiv Capitals, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 against Zemgale, after overtime, Sep 24.
Kyiv Capitals
5-0-0 - Win, 6–3 against HS Riga, Oct 14. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 1.11, HS Riga 19.40.
- Win, 4–0 against Zemgale, Oct 10. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.55, Zemgale 2.18.
- Win, 8–2 at Riga Prizma, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–3 against Riga Prizma, Sep 30.
- Win, 9–1 at Punks Vilnius, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 11:00 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Siekkinen J. assists: Kovalchuk M., Begovs R. 0-1
- 15:37 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Morozov F. assists: Tsarkovskyi D. 0-2
- 16:22 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Sislannikovs O. assists: Korenchuk I. 0-3
2nd period0-6
- 06:12 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Begovs R. assists: Sislannikovs O., Jansons E. H. 0-4
- 10:31 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Sarkanis D. assists: Stradnieks K. 0-5
- 11:43 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Honcharenko D. assists: Tsarkovskyi D., Morozov F. 0-6
- 13:58 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Stradnieks K. assists: Svars P. 0-7
- 15:01 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Siekkinen J. assists: Zukauskas L. 0-8
- 18:44 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Brants H. assists: Tsarkovskyi D. 0-9
3rd period0-2
- 15:12 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Sprukts G. assists: Sarkanis D., Stradnieks K. 0-10
- 16:37 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Honcharenko D. assists: Morozov F., Svars P. 0-11
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Kyiv Capitals coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Kyiv Capitals.
- 4-1-0 away for Kyiv Capitals this season.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Punks Vilnius.
- 9.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PUN) | 25.00 | 25.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 8.20 | 8.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KYI) | 1.09 | 1.09 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7.5 | No change |
| Handicap PUN | +2.5 | +4.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyiv Capitals |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 |
| 2 |  Mogo |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 |
| 3 |  HC Panter |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
| 4 |  Liepaja |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 |
| 5 |  Zemgale |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 |
| 6 | Punks Vilnius |
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 |
| 7 |  Riga Prizma |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 |
| 8 |  HS Riga |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 |
| 9 |  Energija Elektrenai |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Punks Vilnius host Kyiv Capitals in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.