Punks Vilnius vs Riga Prizma prediction
Chance to win · 28% and 53% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonRiga Prizmaodds down 1.74Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderLostU8.5odds down 1.37Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostPunks Vilnius +1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRiga Prizmaodds down 1.46Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonRiga Prizma or drawodds down 1.27Confidence 72%
- Draw no betWonRiga Prizmaodds down 1.43Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.02Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonRiga Prizmaodds down 2.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.47Confidence 69%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–103%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–215%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (3%), 1-2 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 19, 2026: Riga Prizma 2, Punks Vilnius 4.
- Jan 29, 2026: Punks Vilnius 3, Riga Prizma 6.
- Dec 11, 2025: Punks Vilnius 2, Riga Prizma 3, after overtime.
- Oct 9, 2025: Punks Vilnius 8, Riga Prizma 3.
- Sep 16, 2025: Riga Prizma 7, Punks Vilnius 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–11 against Kyiv Capitals, Oct 17. Odds: Punks Vilnius 25.00, Kyiv Capitals 1.09.
- Loss, 0–6 at Zemgale, Oct 14. Odds: Zemgale 1.11, Punks Vilnius 16.10.
- Win, 3–2 at Energija Elektrenai, Oct 10. Odds: Energija 2.00, Punks Vilnius 2.43.
- Loss, 1–9 against Mogo, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–9 against Kyiv Capitals, Sep 26.
- Loss, 2–6 against HC Panter, Oct 13. Odds: Riga Prizma 2.59, HC Panter 2.15.
- Loss, 1–6 against Mogo, Oct 10. Odds: Riga Prizma 14.00, Mogo 1.08.
- Loss, 2–8 against Kyiv Capitals, Oct 3.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kyiv Capitals, Sep 30.
- Loss, 2–5 at Energija Elektrenai, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 04:46 Goal Riga Prizma: Ezitis E. assists: Milbergs I., Vitols R. 0-1
- 09:59 Goal Riga Prizma: Bormanis K. assists: Ezitis E., Vitols R. 0-2
- 16:12 Goal Punks Vilnius: Mazulis T. assists: Kudrevicius L. 1-2
2nd period2-4
- 00:50 Goal Punks Vilnius: Huhdanpaa L. assists: Zaruba O., Verenis P. 2-2
- 03:46 Goal Riga Prizma: Jerofejevs A. assists: Jekimovs R., Riekstins K. 2-3
- 06:45 Goal Riga Prizma: Locmelis E. assists: Vasiljevs K., Jekimovs R. 2-4
- 11:29 Goal Punks Vilnius: Mazulis T. assists: Bacevicius R. 3-4
- 11:43 Goal Riga Prizma: Kabasevs P. assists: Mizerak M., Stendenbergs A. 3-5
- 14:10 Goal PPG Riga Prizma: Stamurs R. assists: Bormanis K., Ezitis E. 3-6
3rd period1-4
- 03:22 Goal Riga Prizma: Bormanis K. assists: Apfelbaums A., Mizerak M. 3-7
- 04:49 Goal Riga Prizma: Riekstins K. assists: Jerofejevs A. 3-8
- 14:34 Goal Riga Prizma: Zaharovs D. 3-9
- 18:08 Goal Punks Vilnius: Sulcas M. 4-9
- 19:26 Goal PPG Riga Prizma: Vitols R. assists: Riekstins K., Jekimovs R. 4-10
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Riga Prizma coming into this game.
- 0-4-1 at home for Punks Vilnius this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Riga Prizma.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Punks Vilnius.
- 8.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PUN) | 3.28 | 3.25 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.65 | 4.55 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (RIG) | 1.73 | 1.72 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7 | Line lowered |
| Handicap PUN | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 | |
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 | |
| 6 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 | |
| 7 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 | |
| 8 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Punks Vilnius host Riga Prizma in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.