Regina Pats vs Medicine Hat Tigers prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostMedicine Hatodds up 1.68Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU8.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonRegina +1.5odds down 1.70Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMedicine Hatodds up 1.43Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostMedicine Hat or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostMedicine Hatodds up 1.37Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.02Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMedicine Hatodds up 2.09Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.48Confidence 64%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min6–13%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period4–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 5 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 1-2 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Apr 4, 2026: Medicine Hat Tigers 5, Regina Pats 4, after overtime.
- Apr 1, 2026: Regina Pats 2, Medicine Hat Tigers 4.
- Mar 31, 2026: Regina Pats 2, Medicine Hat Tigers 8.
- Mar 28, 2026: Medicine Hat Tigers 2, Regina Pats 4.
- Mar 27, 2026: Medicine Hat Tigers 6, Regina Pats 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–5 at Saskatoon Blades, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–1 against Prince Albert Raiders, Oct 9. Odds: Regina 2.50, Prince Albert 2.17.
- Win, 7–2 at Calgary Hitmen, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–5 at Edmonton Oil Kings, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–2 against Swift Current Broncos, Sep 27.
- Loss, 1–6 against Victoria Royals, Oct 10. Odds: Medicine Hat 1.51, Victoria 4.20.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Edmonton Oil Kings, after a shootout, Oct 9.
- Win, 4–2 against Prince Albert Raiders, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–2 at Edmonton Oil Kings, Sep 27.
- Loss, 1–3 at Red Deer Rebels, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period4-1
- 05:42 Goal Regina Pats: Klassen C. assists: Deschamps D. 1-0
- 06:50 Goal Medicine Hat Tigers: Cozens L. assists: Evaschesen J., Reschny D. 1-1
- 07:42 Goal Regina Pats: Klassen C. assists: Moore Z., Schultz M. 2-1
- 10:06 Goal PPG Regina Pats: Pue L. assists: Karsay S., Lansard Z. 3-1
- 11:51 Goal Regina Pats: Paull M. 4-1
2nd period2-0
- 15:57 Goal Regina Pats: Lansard Z. assists: Schultz M. 5-1
- 19:20 Goal PPG Regina Pats: Pue L. assists: Paranych M. 6-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-0-0 at home for Regina Pats this season.
- 4-1-0 away for Medicine Hat Tigers this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Medicine Hat Tigers.
- 7.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
- 6th vs 3rd in the WHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (REG) | 3.10 | 3.34 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (MHT) | 1.77 | 1.69 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7 | No change |
| Handicap REG | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
WHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 27 | .711 | 74 | 58 | +16 | |
| 2 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .658 | 60 | 60 | 0 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .611 | 58 | 59 | −1 | |
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 75 | 68 | +7 | |
| 6 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 63 | 50 | +13 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 19 | .528 | 58 | 68 | −10 | |
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | .559 | 65 | 65 | 0 | |
| 9 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17 | .567 | 46 | 49 | −3 | |
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 17 | .472 | 55 | 61 | −6 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 15 | .417 | 61 | 83 | −22 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Regina Pats host Medicine Hat Tigers in the WHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.