Riga Prizma vs Liepaja prediction
Chance to win · 23% and 59% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonLiepajaodds down 1.38Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderLostO6.5odds down 1.70Confidence 52%
- HandicapWonRiga Prizma +1.52.10Confidence 55%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLiepajaodds down 1.20Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonLiepaja or drawodds down 1.09Confidence 79%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betWonLiepajaodds down 1.17Confidence 91%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonLiepajaodds down 1.84Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.53Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min2–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–210%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 12, 2026: Liepaja 4, Riga Prizma 2.
- Sep 8, 2026: Riga Prizma 2, Liepaja 4.
- Feb 24, 2026: Riga Prizma 1, Liepaja 2.
- Nov 29, 2025: Riga Prizma 3, Liepaja 5.
- Oct 18, 2025: Liepaja 3, Riga Prizma 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 at Mogo, Oct 28. Odds: Mogo 1.01, Riga Prizma 22.00.
- Win, 10–4 at Punks Vilnius, Oct 24. Odds: Punks Vilnius 3.25, Riga Prizma 1.72.
- Loss, 2–6 against HC Panter, Oct 13. Odds: Riga Prizma 2.59, HC Panter 2.15.
- Loss, 1–6 against Mogo, Oct 10. Odds: Riga Prizma 14.00, Mogo 1.08.
- Loss, 2–8 against Kyiv Capitals, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–1 at Energija Elektrenai, Oct 31. Odds: Energija 9.70, Liepaja 1.23.
- Win, 4–0 at Energija Elektrenai, Oct 30. Odds: Energija 9.00, Liepaja 1.20.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Zemgale, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Liepaja 3.15, Zemgale 1.83.
- Win, 10–3 against HS Riga, Oct 21. Odds: Liepaja 1.20, HS Riga 9.50.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at HC Panter, after overtime, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 06:09 Goal Riga Prizma: Barens T. assists: Mizerak M., Kabasevs P. 1-0
- 07:27 Goal Liepaja: Ozolins K. assists: Andersons D. 1-1
- 17:15 Goal Liepaja: Samitis K. assists: Andersons D., Ozolins K. 1-2
2nd period1-0
- 18:07 Goal Riga Prizma: Mizerak M. assists: Barens T. 2-2
3rd period0-1
- 07:53 Goal Liepaja: Ozolins K. assists: Andersons D., Samitis K. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Liepaja.
- −1.3 goals away — Liepaja averaged 4.0 at home and 2.7 away this season.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Riga Prizma.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
- 7th vs 4th in the Optibet Hokeja Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (RIG) | 5.40 | 5.86 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.90 | 5.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (LIE) | 1.41 | 1.33 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7 | No change |
| Handicap RIG | +1.5 | +2.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 | |
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 | |
| 6 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 | |
| 7 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 | |
| 8 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Riga Prizma host Liepaja in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.