Robert Morris vs Air Force Falcons prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonAir Forceodds down 2.43Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.46Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAir Force +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAir Forceodds up 1.72Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonAir Force or drawodds down 1.62Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonAir Forceodds down 1.91Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostAir Forceodds up 2.67Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–016%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 0-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 31, 2026: Robert Morris 3, Air Force Falcons 2.
- Mar 8, 2026: Robert Morris 2, Air Force Falcons 5.
- Mar 6, 2026: Robert Morris 2, Air Force Falcons 3, after overtime.
- Dec 6, 2025: Air Force Falcons 3, Robert Morris 6.
- Dec 5, 2025: Air Force Falcons 4, Robert Morris 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–5 at Bentley Falcons, Oct 24. Odds: Bentley 1.53, Robert Morris 4.55.
- Loss, 0–5 at Bentley Falcons, Oct 23. Odds: Bentley 1.53, Robert Morris 4.50.
- Win, 5–2 at Penn State Nittany Lions, Oct 20.
- Loss, 2–3 against Miami, Oct 17. Odds: Robert Morris 3.30, Miami (OH) 1.76.
- Loss, 1–7 at Miami, Oct 15. Odds: Miami (OH) 1.62, Robert Morris 3.45.
- Loss, 0–4 against Colorado College Tigers, Oct 24. Odds: Air Force 5.60, Colorado Coll. 1.40.
- Loss, 2–6 at Colorado College Tigers, Oct 23. Odds: Colorado Coll. 1.38, Air Force 5.10.
- Loss, 4–7 against Lindenwood Lions, Oct 16. Odds: Air Force 1.98, Lindenwood 2.55.
- Win, 5–2 against Lindenwood Lions, Oct 15. Odds: Air Force 2.42, Lindenwood 2.27.
- Loss, 2–4 at St. Thomas Tommies, Oct 10. Odds: St. Thomas 1.47, Air Force 5.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Air Force Falcons coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Air Force Falcons.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Robert Morris.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROB) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AFF) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROB | −1.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 | |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 | |
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 | |
| 8 | 32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 | |
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 | |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Robert Morris host Air Force Falcons in the NCAA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.