Rochester Americans vs Cleveland Monsters prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonRochesterodds up 2.17Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.40Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostCleveland +1.5odds down 1.32Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRochesterodds up 1.75Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonRochester or drawodds up 1.43Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonRochesterodds up 1.78Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonRochesterodds up 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.85Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Rochester 3–2
Cleveland Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formRochester Americans
Cleveland Monsters
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Rochester 2–3
Cleveland - Apr 17, 2026: Rochester Americans 1, Cleveland Monsters 2.
- Apr 6, 2026: Cleveland Monsters 3, Rochester Americans 4, after a shootout.
- Feb 25, 2026: Cleveland Monsters 4, Rochester Americans 2.
- Jan 24, 2026: Rochester Americans 1, Cleveland Monsters 2.
- Dec 29, 2025: Cleveland Monsters 3, Rochester Americans 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Rochester
2-3-0 - Win, 6–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 30. Odds: Rochester 2.20, Lehigh Valley 2.50.
- Loss, 2–3 against Hershey Bears, Oct 28. Odds: Rochester 2.15, Hershey 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Syracuse Crunch, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Syracuse 2.05, Rochester 2.70.
- Loss, 3–5 against Utica Comets, Oct 21. Odds: Rochester 2.65, Utica 2.15.
- Loss, 2–4 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 17. Odds: Syracuse 2.02, Rochester 2.62.
Cleveland
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–4 against Milwaukee Admirals, Oct 31. Odds: Cleveland 2.55, Milwaukee 2.15.
- Win, 5–2 against Milwaukee Admirals, Oct 30. Odds: Cleveland 2.75, Milwaukee 2.05.
- Loss, 2–5 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 24. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.55, Cleveland 2.15.
- Win, 3–2 at Grand Rapids Griffins, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.10, Cleveland 2.65.
- Loss, 3–6 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 17. Odds: Cleveland 2.14, W-B/Scranton 2.62.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 11:28 Goal Rochester Americans: Funk Z. assists: Valente L. 1-0
- 19:13 Goal PPG Rochester Americans: Fiddler-Schultz R. assists: Gilbert D., Valente L. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 02:30 Goal PPG Rochester Americans: Polin J. assists: Jones C., Peca M. 3-0
3rd period1-1
- 13:16 Goal Cleveland Monsters: Keskinen O. assists: Malatesta J. 3-1
- 18:09 Goal Rochester Americans: Polin J. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Rochester Americans +0.9, Cleveland Monsters −0.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Cleveland Monsters.
- +1.8 goals at home — Rochester Americans averaged 4.2 at home and 2.4 away this season.
- Save % gap: Rochester Americans 91.7%, Cleveland Monsters 87.8% over their recent games.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROC) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CLE) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROC | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 |  Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 |  Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 | Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rochester Americans host Cleveland Monsters in the AHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.