Rochester Americans vs Hartford Wolf Pack prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonRochesterodds down 2.05Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.38Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonHartford +3.5Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRochesterodds down 1.66Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonRochester or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonRochester1.60Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonRochester2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.82Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Rochester 4–1
Hartford Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formRochester Americans
Hartford Wolf Pack
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Rochester 4–0
Hartford - Mar 22, 2026: Rochester Americans 6, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.
- Nov 14, 2025: Hartford Wolf Pack 3, Rochester Americans 4, after overtime.
- Jan 25, 2025: Hartford Wolf Pack 3, Rochester Americans 6.
- Nov 8, 2024: Rochester Americans 6, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.
Last five games
Rochester
3-2-0 - Win, 4–1 against Cleveland Monsters, Nov 4. Odds: Rochester 2.50, Cleveland 2.20.
- Win, 6–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 30. Odds: Rochester 2.20, Lehigh Valley 2.50.
- Loss, 2–3 against Hershey Bears, Oct 28. Odds: Rochester 2.15, Hershey 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Syracuse Crunch, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Syracuse 2.05, Rochester 2.70.
- Loss, 3–5 against Utica Comets, Oct 21. Odds: Rochester 2.65, Utica 2.15.
Hartford
2-2-1 - Loss, 1–4 at Hershey Bears, Nov 4. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Hartford 2.20.
- Win, 4–2 at Springfield Thunderbirds, Nov 1. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Hartford 2.25.
- Win, 4–1 at Belleville Senators, Oct 30. Odds: Belleville 2.30, Hartford 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Hamilton Hammers, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Hartford 2.40.
- Loss, 2–3 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 24. Odds: W-B/Scranton 2.10, Hartford 2.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 19:24 Goal PPG Rochester Americans: Jones C. assists: Peca M., Sheary C. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 09:23 Goal Rochester Americans: Peca M. assists: Sheary C., McCarthy G. 2-0
3rd period2-2
- 04:29 Goal PPG Rochester Americans: McDonough A. assists: Polin J., Peca M. 3-0
- 11:45 Goal PPG Hartford Wolf Pack: Greentree L. assists: Dowling J., Del Gaizo M. 3-1
- 14:35 Goal Hartford Wolf Pack: Vanroboys L. assists: Nachbaur J., Del Gaizo M. 3-2
- 19:36 Goal ENG Rochester Americans: Kuntar T. assists: Fiddler-Schultz R., Jones C. 4-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Rochester Americans.
- Goal differential gap of 2.1 per game — Rochester Americans +1.4, Hartford Wolf Pack −0.7 over their recent games.
- +1.8 goals at home — Rochester Americans averaged 4.2 at home and 2.4 away this season.
- 8.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROC) | 2.01 | 2.01 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HWP) | 2.85 | 2.85 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROC | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 |  Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 |  Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 | Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rochester Americans host Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.