Rochester Americans vs Utica Comets Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Rochester +1.5 1.31

Confidence67%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Full game

1X2LostRochesterodds down 2.57Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO4.51.50Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostRochester +1.51.31Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostRochesterodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostRochester or drawodds down 1.54Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostRochesterodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDraw2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.95Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Rochester 41

Utica

Final 3–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

ROC to winTo win 52% UTI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–54%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–113%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-1, 0-0, 3-0
Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 5-2 (3%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record3-2-13-1-0

Home / road split2-0-02-0-0

StreakL1L1

Rest3 days3 days

Goals for3.22.0

Goals against2.02.0

In the standings5th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.4+0.6

Goals for2.92.9

Goals against2.52.3

Shots on goal28.526.4

Shots against29.023.4

Shooting %10.2%11.0%

Save %91.7%90.6%

Power-play %18.3%10.9%

Penalty kill %83.3%89.8%

Penalty minutes14.710.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Rochester 14

Utica

Utica Comets won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.8 ROC 2.2 · UTI 3.6

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Nov 7, 2026: Utica Comets 4, Rochester Americans 1.
Oct 10, 2026: Utica Comets 2, Rochester Americans 1.
Mar 11, 2026: Rochester Americans 1, Utica Comets 4.
Feb 15, 2026: Rochester Americans 4, Utica Comets 7.
Feb 14, 2026: Utica Comets 1, Rochester Americans 4.

Last five games

Rochester 2-2-1

Loss, 2–4 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 17. Odds: Syracuse 2.02, Rochester 2.62.
Win, 4–1 at Hamilton Hammers, Oct 16. Odds: Hamilton 2.05, Rochester 2.55.
Loss, 1–2 at Utica Comets, Oct 10.
Win, 7–1 against Syracuse Crunch, Oct 9. Odds: Rochester 2.18, Syracuse 2.70.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Belleville Senators, after a shootout, Oct 4.

Utica 4-1-0

Loss, 0–4 against Laval Rocket, Oct 17. Odds: Utica 2.15, Laval 2.45.
Win, 4–2 at Belleville Senators, Oct 11. Odds: Belleville 2.03, Utica 2.94.
Win, 2–1 against Rochester Americans, Oct 10.
Win, 2–1 at Providence Bruins, Oct 2.
Win, 4–2 at Providence Bruins, Apr 18.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

07:38 Goal Utica Comets: Steeves B. assists: Noesen S. 0-1

2nd period1-3

02' Goal Utica Comets: Parent X. assists: Klassen G. 0-2
13' Goal Utica Comets: — 0-3
17' Goal Utica Comets: McLaughlin M. assists: Rittich D. 0-4
20' Goal Rochester Americans: Jones C. 1-4

3rd period2-1

17' Goal ENG Utica Comets: — 1-5
18' Goal Rochester Americans: McDonough A. 2-5
20' Goal Rochester Americans: Fiddler-Schultz R. 3-5

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Utica Comets.
4-1-0 in the last five for Utica Comets.
5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
5th vs 2nd in the AHL standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ROC)	2.65	2.65	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.10	4.10	No change
1X2: 2 (UTI)	2.15	2.15	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap ROC	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

AHL standings

Regular Season · North Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Laval Rocket	14	10	3	1	21	.750	53	30	+23
2	Utica Comets	11	9	2	0	18	.818	35	24	+11
3	Toronto Marlies	14	7	4	3	17	.607	44	41	+3
4	Belleville Senators	14	7	5	2	16	.571	44	43	+1
5	Rochester Americans	13	7	5	1	15	.577	42	32	+10
6	Syracuse Crunch	12	5	5	2	12	.500	35	39	−4
7	Cleveland Monsters	13	6	7	0	12	.462	40	50	−10
8	Hamilton Hammers	15	4	9	2	10	.333	41	61	−20

Playoffs

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Rochester Americans vs Utica Comets prediction